CBB

Boston College vs Clemson

Can the Eagles soar high enough to cover in Clemson’s fortress?

Boston College

Eagles (0-3-7-9) VS Tigers (4-0-14-3)

January 13, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Littlejohn Coliseum, Clemson, South Carolina

Clemson
Moneyline Pick - Clemson (-3300): C+
Clemson’s five-game winning streak and 8-0 home mark line up against a Boston College group that has dropped three straight and sits 0-3 in the ACC, making the Tigers overwhelming straight-up favorites in their own building. With no new, high-impact injuries reported and core rotations intact, Clemson can lean on veterans like RJ Godfrey and Jestin Porter against a BC backcourt led by Donald Hand Jr. and emerging scorer Fred Payne, but the talent and depth gap is wider than last season, when Godfrey chipped in double figures in an 89-78 Clemson home win while Hand Jr. managed just two points. Program history backs that edge too, with the Eagles just 3-12 straight up in the last 15 meetings and 1-14 in their last 15 road games overall, even as Clemson’s current 14-3, 4-0 ACC profile has them pushing for league title contention. At a price of roughly +1000 on Boston College and -3300 on Clemson, the Tigers’ moneyline is extremely likely to cash but offers poor monetary value relative to the risk, so I’d still side with Clemson to win outright but only grade this bet a C+ given the thin return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/01/2026 09:44
Over/Under Pick - Under 134.5 (-108): B+
Boston College’s offense has sputtered badly during its current three-game skid, averaging in the low 60s in ACC play, while Clemson’s five-game surge has been driven by a defense giving up about 65–66 points per night and holding opponents under 40% shooting, a combination that points toward the Under at the current 134.5 total. With both sides entering relatively healthy and rolling out their usual rotations, Boston College has leaned into lower totals (6-10 O/U overall and four Unders in its last five), even as scorers like Hand Jr. and Payne carry heavy usage, whereas Clemson’s recent wins over Cincinnati, Syracuse, SMU and Notre Dame mostly landed in the high 120s or low 130s despite efficient shooting. While last season’s 89-78 Tiger win at Littlejohn sailed over, this year’s matchup leans more defensive: BC’s offense now rates in the bottom tier nationally by efficiency, Clemson’s defense grades in the top 20, and one prominent analytic projection pegs this game around 73-57 (130 total), a few points below the market. Factoring in Clemson’s methodical late-game pace when leading and Boston College’s difficulty creating clean looks against length, I prefer Under 134.5 (-108) and grade it a B+ for combining a solid statistical edge with respectable value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/01/2026 09:44
Spread Pick - Boston College, +16.5 (-108): B
Boston College backers are getting a hefty cushion at +16.5 in a spot where the Eagles have lost three straight but now face a Clemson team that, while riding a five-game winning streak, has been only modestly profitable against the number and is 3-4-1 ATS at home this season. Injury reports haven’t flagged fresh absences for either rotation, so the spread really hinges on how consistently BC’s main pieces — Hand Jr., Payne and versatile wing Aidan Shaw — can score just enough against a frontline of Godfrey, Porter, Carter Welling and Dillon Hunter to avoid a complete runaway, especially with Clemson potentially peeking ahead to a high-profile Miami game. Historically the Eagles have hung around more often than not in this series, going 4-2 ATS in their last six against Clemson and covering as sizeable underdogs in several recent meetings, including last season’s 78-69 loss in Chestnut Hill, while an analytic projection in the mid-teens (around 73–57 Tigers) sits slightly below the current -16.5/-17 market range. Given BC’s awful straight-up road record but better performance versus this specific opponent, I lean toward taking the points with Boston College +16.5 (-108) and grade the spread play a B: a reasonable edge with some backdoor-cover potential, but still exposed to Clemson’s ability to bury opponents with late scoring runs. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/01/2026 09:44
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