Arizona State vs Arizona

Arizona’s 16-0 run and five-game winning streak, contrasted with Arizona State’s 1-4 slide over its last five, underline why the Wildcats are such massive moneyline favorites at -8000. Arizona enters essentially at full strength with its deep rotation intact, while ASU could be without or see limited minutes from game-time call Bryce Ford and only recently got Santiago Trouet back from a leg issue, tightening the Sun Devils’ perimeter depth. In this rivalry, experienced Wildcats like Jaden Bradley, Koa Peat, Tobe Awaka and a rejuvenated frontcourt that dominates the glass are a tier above an ASU group keyed by Maurice Odum, and Arizona has both the recent head-to-head edge and a clear efficiency gap on both ends. I’m backing Arizona on the moneyline and grading it a B- pick: the win probability is sky-high, but the -8000 price offers almost no standalone value and is best suited as a conservative parlay piece. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/01/2026 10:01

Koa Peat and Arizona’s up-tempo offense are averaging over 91 points per game while Arizona State scores north of 80 but has still gone 1-4 in its last five, a stretch filled with shootouts that points toward the Over on a lofty 168.5 total at -105. ASU might be missing some punch if Bryce Ford can’t go or is limited, yet Trouet’s return from a leg issue and the presence of high-usage guards like Maurice Odum keep the Sun Devils’ scoring floor relatively high, while Arizona brings a nearly full-strength, multi-headed attack with Peat, Brayden Burries, Bradley and Awaka all capable of carrying a half. The rivalry’s most recent 113–100 meeting and Arizona’s string of recent games in the 170s and beyond support another high-possession, whistle-heavy night in McKale where both teams’ offensive strengths outweigh ASU’s defensive concerns. I’m playing Over 168.5 (-105) with a B grade, acknowledging the number is aggressive but still justified by pace, shot-making and both teams’ recent scoring profiles. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/01/2026 10:01

Arizona State’s 1-4 recent record masks how competitive some of those results have been, including an 87-84 win over Kansas State and several losses where the offense still produced, which makes grabbing +21.5 at -120 attractive even against an Arizona squad rolling through opponents. The Sun Devils may have to navigate a thinner wing rotation if Bryce Ford’s game-time status tilts the wrong way, but with Trouet back from a leg issue and veteran playmaker Maurice Odum steering a fast-paced attack, Bobby Hurley still has enough scoring to avoid a total collapse. Arizona’s dominant front line with Awaka and Motiejus Krivas, plus elite guards like Bradley and Burries, should build a sizable lead, yet the high projected total and rivalry intensity open the door for ASU’s offense to trade punches long enough—or sneak through a late backdoor—rather than surrendering a full 22-plus point margin as in blowout outliers of the past. I’ll take Arizona State +21.5 (-120) with a B+ grade, trusting the number and tempo to work in the underdog’s favor even while expecting Arizona to control the game. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/01/2026 10:01