Arkansas vs Texas Tech

Arkansas roll into Dallas on a two-game heater punctuated by a statement win over Louisville and a 24-point rout of Fresno State, while Texas Tech also ride a two-game streak but remain 0-2 against ranked foes despite their matching 7-2 record. With JT Toppin only recently back from a lower-body injury, plus depth pieces like Jazz Henderson out and Devan Cambridge gone on a medical hardship, Tech’s rotation has a little more fragility than an Arkansas group that appears largely intact going into this neutral-site showcase. The memory of Toppin and Christian Anderson torching the Hogs for 40 combined points in March’s 85-83 Sweet 16 overtime heartbreaker should sharpen John Calipari’s adjustments, especially with freshmen guards Darius Acuff Jr. and Meleek Thomas now driving a more efficient late-game offense. Factor in Arkansas’ stronger early ATS profile and the lack of true postseason pressure this early in the calendar, and the underdog price on the Razorbacks feels like the right side of a near coin-flip matchup. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/12/2025 09:40

Texas Tech’s attack, led by Toppin and Anderson, has stayed hot during their current two-game win streak and is averaging just over 81 points per night, while Arkansas’ up-tempo offense has powered a 7-2 start with 87.6 points per game and at least 79 in every victory. Neither side is dealing with major offensive injuries among its primary scorers, and with Toppin fully back in the fold after his brief absence, both coaches can lean into their preferred rotations and pace without load-management concerns. Given that last season’s Sweet 16 meeting landed at 85-83 in overtime, that Texas Tech is again bombing threes at a high clip, and that Arkansas’ guard trio of Acuff, Thomas and D.J. Wagner thrives in transition, this neutral-site rematch sets up for long stretches of trading buckets even if March seeding talk is months away. The number is aggressive, but combined efficiency and shot-making upside nudge this toward the high side, so I lean to Over 155.5 at standard juice with a modest edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/12/2025 09:40

Darius Acuff Jr. and the Razorbacks have rewarded backers with four straight covers and a 6-3 ATS mark overall, whereas Texas Tech’s 3-6 ATS record shows how often their results have failed to match market expectations despite an identical 7-2 straight-up start. With Toppin’s earlier lower-body issue and depth hits from Henderson’s long-term absence and Cambridge’s departure, Tech are a bit thinner if this turns into a whistle-heavy grinder, while Arkansas’ main rotation pieces from Acuff and Thomas to Trevon Brazile are available and in rhythm. Considering how Toppin and Anderson carved up Arkansas in March’s 85-83 overtime win, Calipari’s staff should be well-prepped with counters, and the Razorbacks’ improved rebounding and late-game execution since that collapse make a one-possession spread especially attractive on a neutral court. In what profiles as another tight, rivalry-driven battle with no immediate postseason stakes, I’d rather grab the +1.5 with the team on the better ATS run and live underdog upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 13/12/2025 09:40