CBB

Auburn vs Arkansas

Razorbacks revenge, Tigers short-handed — expect a Fayetteville correction.

Auburn

Tigers (5-6-14-10) VS Razorbacks (8-3-18-6)

February 14, 2026 | 8:30 PM ET | Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, AR

Arkansas
Moneyline Pick - Arkansas (-500): B
Arkansas rides a two-game winning streak and a dominant 12-1 home record into this rematch with Auburn, while the Tigers limp in on a three-game skid and without leading scorer Keyshawn Hall plus rotation big man Emeka Opurum. With Darius Acuff Jr. running hot, Trevon Brazile in strong form, and the Razorbacks hungry to avenge January’s 95-73 loss in Auburn, the matchup now tilts sharply toward the more complete, healthier side as Auburn leans heavily on Tahaad Pettiford and secondary scoring. At -500, the Razorbacks’ moneyline carries a steep price but still offers solid value given the form lines, injuries, and Bud Walton advantage, so backing Arkansas straight up earns a B grade for high win probability but limited monetary upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/02/2026 09:25
Over/Under Pick - Under 165.5 (-125): B+
Auburn’s three-game losing streak has featured late-game offensive wobble and now a huge scoring void with Hall sidelined just as Arkansas’ defense has tightened during consecutive 20-plus-point wins, shifting the tone of this rematch away from a pure track meet. Even though the first meeting reached the high 160s thanks in part to Hall’s 32-point eruption, a Tigers attack missing its primary shot creator, the Razorbacks’ renewed defensive emphasis, and their tendency to build leads and then manage tempo at home all tug this total down from the lofty 165.5 number. With Auburn still capable of short bursts but likely less efficient and Arkansas boasting efficient shot-makers like Acuff and Brazile who don’t need a frantic pace to score, leaning under 165.5 at -125 earns a B+ grade, marrying a strong matchup narrative with a reasonable price on a slight scoring dip. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/02/2026 09:25
Spread Pick - Arkansas, -8.5 (-125): B
Darius Acuff Jr. has been torching SEC defenses during Arkansas’ 5-1 surge, and paired with Brazile’s recent double-double form he gives the Razorbacks the kind of top-end punch Auburn simply doesn’t have right now without Hall. Auburn’s three straight losses, including an 8-point home defeat to Vanderbilt, spotlight a defense giving up high-70s per night and a rotation now thinner up front, an issue against Arkansas’ size and length over 40 minutes in Bud Walton. Factoring in the Razorbacks’ 12-1 home mark, the motivational edge of avenging January’s 22-point loss, and Auburn’s combination of a cold streak and key absences, laying -8.5 at -125 with Arkansas earns a B grade—an assertive but justified position that trades some cushion on the number for a strong blend of matchup, form, and venue. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/02/2026 09:25
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