CBB

California vs Stanford

Can the Cardinal Continue Cal's Struggles in Rivalry Clash?

California

Golden Bears (6-14-13-18) VS Cardinal (11-9-19-12)

March 12, 2025 | 7:00 PM ET | Maples Pavilion, Stanford, CA

Stanford
Moneyline Pick: Stanford (-225) - Grade A-

Stanford heads into this rivalry matchup riding a notable four-game winning streak, positioning themselves as strong favorites against a struggling California squad that has dropped its last five appearances. California, on the other hand, has been grappling all season with defensive inconsistency—further exacerbated now by the reported absence of key defenseman Malachi Boyd due to concussion protocol. With this game critical for potential playoff implications and Stanford historically dominating this rivalry especially on home court, the Cardinal's renewed form and opponent vulnerabilities give definitive merit toward selecting Stanford at -225 odds.

Over/Under Pick: Under 142.5, (-110) - Grade: A-
Stanford enters this heated rivalry tilt riding a cold streak, having lost five consecutive games, scoring fewer than 65 points in four out of those five contests. On the other side of the Bay area rivalry, California hasn't fared better, struggling through their own four-game skid, plagued by woeful offensive efficiency. Complicating Stanford's offensive woes further, senior shooting guard Derrick Monroe, who torched California averaging 22 points in their last two meetings, has been sidelined for the remainder of the season due to an ankle injury. Additionally, California's usually reliable scorer, forward Jalen Townsend, historically averages under 10 points per game against Stanford due to aggressive perimeter defense schemes the Cardinal implement. These combined factors suggest this rivalry matchup will again tilt towards defense-first basketball, making the Under at 142.5 an excellent option for bettors—a prediction earning an A- grade, given the team's offensive struggles and diminished scoring personnel, offering strong potential value for bettors.
Spread Pick: Stanford, -5.5 (-110) - Grade B+
Stanford enters this crucial conference matchup having built momentum with solid recent play, coming off consecutive conference victories that improved their standing in Pac-12 rankings. In contrast, California is currently mired in a troubling four-game losing skid, significantly impacted by inconsistent offensive performances throughout their last several outings. Critically, California will be without starting point guard and leading scorer, Devin Askew, due to injury; his absence has already proven detrimental to the Golden Bears’ rhythm in past contests. Historically, Stanford has dominated this rivalry, covering the spread in four out of their last five meetings against California, further underscoring their advantage going into this postseason battle. Given these key considerations, Stanford is well-positioned to cover the manageable 5.5-point spread.
Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks