NHL

Sabres vs Red Wings Moneyline Prediction

Will Detroit take advantage of Buffalo's injury woes at home?

Buffalo Sabres

Sabretooth (25-32-6) VS Al (30-28-6)

Mar 12, 2025 | 6:30 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Detroit Red Wings
Pick, Moneyline Red Wings (-135): Grade B+
The Detroit Red Wings have recently found momentum, winning three out of their last four games, suggesting a momentum shift for a late push in the Eastern Conference standings. Conversely, the Buffalo Sabres continue to slide, having dropped four consecutive games, underscoring recent difficulties in closing contests against division rivals. Buffalo's roster depth has also been strained significantly by the absence of injured key contributors, leading to issues sustaining offensive pressure and consistency on special teams. Additionally, history favors Detroit, as the Red Wings hold dominance in their recent head-to-head clashes, particularly at home where they have won their last three matchups against the Sabres. Given these factors, selecting the Red Wings at -135 provides a strong balance between probability of a successful prediction and decent return value, meriting a solid B+ grade.
Over/Under Pick: Over 6.5 (-115) - Grade B+
The Buffalo Sabres enter this matchup on shaky ice, enduring a challenging stretch with a three-game losing streak accompanied by defensive struggles and questionable goaltending. Adding to their troubles, standout forward Tage Thompson remains sidelined due to injury, limiting the Sabres' offensive punch. On the other side, the Detroit Red Wings come into town riding high offensively, despite recently dropping two straight—primarily due to poor penalty killing and erratic goaltending performances. Historically, matchups between Buffalo and Detroit have trended towards high-scoring contests; their earlier meetings this season produced goal totals of eight and nine respectively. With both teams showcasing defensive vulnerabilities and a recent history indicating frequent open-ice play and abundant scoring chances, backing the over seems to offer solid betting value.
Puckline Pick: Detroit Red Wings, +1.5 (-180) - B+
The Buffalo Sabres find themselves in a tough predicament, entering this matchup riding a disheartening three-game losing skid, while the Detroit Red Wings are showing renewed confidence having won three of their last four games. Crucially for Buffalo, the impactful absence of standout forward Tage Thompson due to injury severely hampers their offensive capability; on the other side, Detroit fields a relatively healthy roster, with Lucas Raymond and Dylan Larkin finding recent offensive rhythm. Historically, Detroit has played strongly against the Sabres, winning five of their past seven encounters, clearly demonstrating confidence whenever facing this specific Atlantic Division opponent. Despite Buffalo being favored at -220, Detroit's improving recent form, injury advantages, and solid history with Buffalo point toward significant value taking the Red Wings on the puckline at +1.5 goals, earning this selection a commendable B+ grade.
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