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Falcons vs Rockets

Rockets Aim to Hold Off Falcons in MAC Clash

Bowling Green

Bowling Green Falcons vs Toledo Rockets

February 21st 2025 | 7:00 PM EST | Savage Arena, Toledo, OH

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Toledo

Toledo’s home dominance makes them the smart pick

Grade B+: Toledo Moneyline -350

The Rockets have been one of the strongest teams in the MAC, particularly at home, where their offensive efficiency has been a major factor in their success. Bowling Green has struggled on the road, often falling behind early due to defensive lapses and inconsistent perimeter shooting. Toledo’s ability to control the tempo and exploit the Falcons’ defensive weaknesses should allow them to dictate the game from start to finish. With Toledo favored at -350, they are the clear moneyline pick, though the value is limited. This is a B+ bet, as Toledo’s superior depth and home-court advantage should lead them to victory.

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Toledo’s offensive firepower could lead to a comfortable win

Grade B+: Toledo Spread -7.5

The Rockets have been dominant at home, using their high-paced offence to overwhelm opponents and force them into difficult defensive matchups. Bowling Green has struggled to keep up with fast-scoring teams, ranking near the bottom of the MAC in defensive efficiency and opponent three-point percentage. Additionally, Toledo’s rebounding advantage should limit second-chance opportunities for the Falcons while giving the Rockets extra possessions to stretch the lead. With Toledo favored by -7.5, their ability to control tempo and capitalize on Bowling Green’s defensive struggles makes them a strong bet to cover. This is a B+ pick, as Toledo’s home-court advantage and scoring depth give them the edge.

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Both teams' offensive tempo could push this game over

Great B+: Over 158 Total Points

Toledo’s high-powered offence has been one of the most efficient in the MAC, consistently scoring at a high clip, especially on their home floor. Bowling Green, while struggling defensively, has shown the ability to keep up in fast-paced games, often pushing teams into high-scoring affairs. Both teams rank in the upper half of the conference in possessions per game, and neither has been particularly strong at slowing down transition scoring. With the total set at 158, the combination of Toledo’s offensive efficiency and Bowling Green’s defensive lapses makes the over the best play. This is a B+ pick, as both teams’ styles point toward an up-tempo, high-scoring game.

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