MLB

Red Sox vs Rays

A close call awaits where skids could finally snap

Boston Red Sox

Red Sox (7-9) VS Rays (6-8)

14/04/2025 | 19:05 ET | Tropicana Field

Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline Pick: Tampa Bay Rays (-120) - B

Boston heads into this matchup having won their last game, but has questions surrounding the depth of its lineup due to a recent roster setback. Tampa Bay, also coming off a win, will counter with a starting pitcher who’s historically performed well in this matchup and looks poised to keep Boston’s bats in check. While it’s still too early for playoff implications to take hold, every win contributes to rhythm and confidence. With the Rays holding the stronger pitching outlook and home-field edge, backing Tampa Bay at -120 is a calculated move. The recommendation carries a B grade, reflecting medium confidence and a fair $100 return on a $120 wager.

This isn’t the flashiest pick on the board, but Tampa’s got enough going for them to make it worth a shot. The Red Sox haven’t looked sharp lately, and if the Rays’ starter settles in early, this could be a pretty straightforward W.

Over/Under Pick: Over 8.5, (+110) - B

Both Boston and Tampa Bay enter this game looking to get some wins after a relatively slow start to the season, and the setup suggests an uptick in offense. The Red Sox are currently shorthanded in the bullpen, while Tampa Bay has shown a knack for producing runs in this ballpark historically. Even though it’s still early in the season with little postseason pressure in play, these division rivals are eager to regain momentum—and the conditions are ripe for scoring to break out. Taking the Over looks like a solid value play here, earning a B grade based on its reasonable probability and decent payout upside.

If you're after a total with potential, this one checks a lot of boxes. Neither staff is fully locked in, and both lineups are capable of getting hot quickly—so this Over might just sneak past by the seventh inning.

Spread Pick: Boston Red Sox, -1 (-120) - B+

The Boston Red Sox enter this matchup hungry turn around a slower start to the season, still operating without a key infielder in their everyday lineup. Tampa Bay, coming off a tough defeat of their own, brings a lineup that’s been productive but inconsistent in recent games. Boston’s power from the left side has historically fared well against Tampa Bay’s pitching, which could provide the spark needed to control this game from early on. While it’s still early in the season and postseason chatter remains quiet, this is a good spot for Boston to regain some traction. With the current spread offering appealing value, backing the Red Sox to cover holds promise and earns a solid B grade for measured confidence and respectable payout.

Feels like one of those home games where Boston gets out front and holds it. The Rays always compete, but if the Red Sox bats start clicking early, that spread could cash without too much sweat.

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