Orioles vs Nationals

The Orioles enter this matchup trying to snap a two-game slide, but their overall outlook remains more favorable than that of the Nationals, who are sitting under .500 and are coping with a key absence in their lineup. Baltimore, still missing one of its top arms due to injury, turns to a veteran (albeit technically a rookie) righty. The Nationals counter with a starter whose struggles against Baltimore have been evident in multiple outings. Offensively, Washington relies heavily on a couple of key contributors, but their track record against Baltimore's starter is underwhelming, while Baltimore’s hitters have found success in this matchup before. Factor in a bullpen edge for the Orioles—even with some ongoing injury concerns—and there's a case to be made that the current moneyline is underestimating their advantage.

Honestly, this one feels like a solid value grab. You’re not swinging for the fences here, but with how each team is trending and the pitching history in play, backing Baltimore makes a lot of sense. Even with a few injury headaches, they’ve got the better pen and a more consistent offense. Grade B feels right—it’s not a lock, but the pieces line up well enough to justify the price.

Baltimore heads to Washington mired in a two-game slump, while the Nationals have shown steadier form. With both teams looking to capitalize on recent shifts in momentum, expect aggressive approaches at the plate. The Orioles turn to an untested arm due to ongoing rotation issues, while Washington faces a righty who has been hittable of late. Both clubs bring some offensive familiarity to the matchup, with recent performances suggesting opportunities for run production. Bullpen fatigue could be a factor as well, with key relievers from each side having pitched in back-to-back games.

Feels like one of those nights where the scoreboard could stay busy. Neither starter is locked in right now, and with taxed bullpens and a hitter-friendly weather setup, there’s plenty to like about the Over at 9.5. Still, it’s early in the season and both staffs are prone to volatility, so a Grade B makes sense—it’s a strong lean, just not a slam dunk.

Baltimore arrives in the nation’s capital on a two-game slide, while Washington rides into this matchup winning three of their last four. With a few key arms still missing from the Orioles' staff, the pitching edge appears to lean toward the Nationals, who counter with a starter that has historically handled Baltimore well. On the flip side, Baltimore’s right-hander has struggled in his appearances against Washington. Momentum and relative bullpen health also slightly favor the home side, offering a slim but noticeable edge in a matchup between two teams still trying to find their footing.

It’s not a flashy play, but taking Washington +1 at close to even money makes sense given how things are trending. Both clubs are under .500, so it’s more about angles than standings right now, and the Nats’ recent boost, plus their pitching and health situation, give them the slight nod. Grade B feels right here—there’s enough to back it without needing a miracle.