MLB

Orioles vs Rays

Camden clashes favor Rays’ steady sails over skidding Birds

Baltimore Orioles

Orioles (30-41) VS Rays (40-32)

18 Jun 2025 | 7:35 PM ET | Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline Pick - Tampa Bay Rays (-130): B+

Tampa Bay rides into Wednesday night’s matchup against Baltimore with momentum and on their side, having won four of their last five while the Orioles have come in struggling this season. The Rays benefit from a healthier roster and enter the game with an edge in bullpen stability and starting depth. Baltimore’s pitching staff, meanwhile, continues to face issues with key absences and fatigue from recent short outings. That imbalance in form and availability suggests Tampa holds the advantage in the later innings, a key factor as both teams push toward the midpoint of the season.

The Orioles’ offence has cooled at the wrong time, and with Tampa getting strong outings from its rotation and late-inning arms, the path to another road win looks clear. These divisional games often carry some volatility, but with the Rays clicking and Baltimore thin in key areas, the current betting value leans toward the visiting side. This prediction gets a B+ grade.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/06/2025 09:50

Over/Under Pick - Under 9 (-110): B

Baltimore hosts Tampa Bay on Wednesday looking to turn a poor season around, while the Rays aim to extend their great run in their last five games behind a rotation that’s held up well despite recent injuries. The Orioles remain undermanned in the bullpen and continue to manage limited innings from key arms, a challenge made tougher by a lineup that hasn’t consistently produced. Tampa Bay, although missing some power bats, brings more stability on the mound and has shown an ability to adapt offensively. The park’s tendency to suppress right-handed power in cooler conditions also suggests a lower-scoring affair could be in play.

Both clubs now sit past the halfway mark of the season, and that added playoff pressure should show in more cautious plate approaches and quicker bullpen triggers. Young starters from each side bring high upside but also volatility, which typically tightens game plans. With that in mind, the total sitting at nine looks slightly inflated for this matchup. This prediction gets a B grade.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/06/2025 09:50

Spread Pick - Tampa Bay Rays, -1.5 (-158): B

Tampa enters Camden Yards on Wednesday with the wind at their backs after 4-1 run in their last five games, while Baltimore looks to  bounce back from a bad first half and stabilize a bullpen still working through injury concerns. The Rays have benefited from consistent pitching this month, and their relievers continue to post strong numbers late in games. On the other side, the Orioles’ arms have struggled to hold leads, particularly in the later innings, which adds pressure to a lineup that hasn’t delivered with much consistency in June.

Given Tampa’s current form and sharper bullpen performance, this feels like a spot where the road team can build and protect a lead. The difference in bullpen ERA this month points to an edge when games tighten up, and with playoff stakes slowly rising, the sharper, healthier club is worth backing to cover the spread. This prediction gets a B grade.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/06/2025 09:51

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks