MLB

Orioles vs Twins Moneyline Clash

Home bats thaw spring chill, Orioles feel northern headwinds.

Baltimore Orioles

Orioles (13-20) VS Twins (15-20)

May 07, 2025 | 7:40 PM ET | Target Field, Minneapolis

Minnesota Twins
Moneyline Pick - Minnesota Twins (-145): B

The Twins enter this matchup riding a three-game winning streak, while the Orioles arrive at Target Field on a three-game slide and dealing with significant injuries in both their rotation and bullpen. The health disparity is especially evident as Minnesota welcomes back key contributors to a refreshed lineup, while Baltimore’s pitching depth is tested once again. On the mound, the Twins will lean on a seasoned right-hander who has yet to face the Orioles in his career, contrasting with an opposing starter who has struggled in outings versus Minnesota.

Considering the momentum, the injury situation, and the favorable pitching matchup, the Twins look like a solid play at –145. They’ve shown signs of turning the corner after a sluggish start, and grabbing a win here would put them back in striking distance of .500. With value still on the board, this is a spot worth taking.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:53

Over/Under Pick - Under 9.5, (-105): B

The Orioles veteran starter looks to get some momentum back into the team, who arrive in Minnesota amid a three-game losing streak and continued struggles at the plate. The Twins, winners of three straight, still aren’t at full strength offensively and face limitations in their bullpen. With both teams benefiting from a rest day and cool weather expected, the conditions could further suppress scoring in what’s shaping up as a pitching-friendly environment. Minnesota counters with a starter who has consistently fared well against but has yet to face the Orioles in his career.

With the total set at 9.5, this matchup offers a favorable case for the under. Both lineups are either underperforming or undermanned, and the weather should only add to the low-scoring outlook. Given the trends, rest factors, and starting pitcher profiles, backing the under feels like the smarter play here.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:53

Spread Pick - Baltimore Orioles, +1.5 (-160): B

Baltimore rides strong recent hitting into this one, looking to capitalize on a Twins pitching staff that has struggled in recent games to limit runs. Minnesota’s offense remains shorthanded, with multiple key bats still sidelined, while the Orioles enter with a fuller lineup and a more stable rotation. The pitching matchup also leans toward Baltimore, with Minnesota’s starter posting subpar results in recent outings and has never faced the Orioles in his career.

With Minnesota’s bullpen showing cracks and its lineup depth tested, the run-line angle adds just enough breathing room to justify the play despite the price. Baltimore’s form and healthier roster give them the edge, and getting a run and a half feels like a worthwhile investment.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/05/2025 09:53

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