Orioles vs Cubs
Windy City set to test the Birds’ fragile flight.

Orioles (50-59) VS Cubs (63-45)
Aug 01, 2025 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL


Chicago enters this matchup on a strong upswing, fueled by consistent pitching performances and improved late-game execution. July has seen the Cubs’ starters produce impressive numbers, helping them secure close contests with notable efficiency. The Orioles' bullpen regression since the All-Star break, has made it difficult to hold leads or stay competitive in tight games. With postseason implications looming, Chicago’s tendency to thrive in narrow margins gives this prediction added weight.
Looking at this from a betting perspective, the Cubs feel like the right pick here. The odds reflect both their recent momentum and Baltimore’s inconsistency, especially given their issues in late-inning situations. If you’re placing a bet today, this matchup lines up well for Chicago to keep its rhythm going at home. Wrigley Field provides a meaningful edge, and given the stakes, the value at ‑145 makes sense in context. While no pick is ever guaranteed, the trends favor a home-team lean in this spot.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made at 01/08/2025 09:41.
Starting pitching for both these clubs has been strong lately. A strong in-blowing wind at Wrigley, expected around 11 mph, adds another layer of resistance for hitters, especially in a ballpark that has leaned pitcher-friendly in recent weeks. The offenses for both sides have also been limited due to key absences, contributing to modest run totals when these teams meet.
If you're looking for a smart pick, betting the Under 7.5 makes a lot of sense given current trends and the matchup conditions. Between the pitching stability on both sides and some lineup depth issues, it’s hard to imagine a scoring explosion in this one. Add in Chicago’s recent bullpen dominance, and the ingredients all point to a tightly contested, low-output game. This bet feels well-calculated and aligns with how these teams have been trending when facing each other.
This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made at 01/08/2025 09:41.
Even with their recent struggles, Baltimore has quietly been one of the more reliable teams in tight road contests, covering the +1.5 spread in a strong majority of their away games. Their starting pitching continues to give them a chance, with consistent outings that limit damage and keep games close. Chicago’s offense, while solid in terms of putting balls in play, hasn’t demonstrated consistent power against right-handed pitching, ranking in the bottom half of the league in home run rate.
If you're considering a bet on this matchup, taking Baltimore at +1.5 feels like a smart pick. While the odds carry a bit of a premium, the Orioles’ proven track record in staying within striking distance makes this prediction appealing. Games at Wrigley often come down to fine margins, and all signs point to another tight one here. Betting the run line is a practical approach for those leaning Baltimore without needing them to pull off the outright upset.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made at 01/08/2025 09:41.
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