Orioles vs Diamondbacks

With Adley Rutschman swinging a hot bat during a three-game hitting streak, the Orioles enter Phoenix with momentum that the slumping Snakes simply can’t match. Baltimore took two of three games in their last series and appears to be settling into rhythm, while Arizona has dropped four of its last five—largely due to a bullpen still trying to find its footing. The Diamondbacks are also short-handed in relief, with Kevin Ginkel currently on the 15-day IL due to shoulder inflammation. Brandon Pfaadt draws the start for Arizona, but he’s been shaky in early appearances and will face an O’s lineup featuring Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander. Baltimore sends Dean Kremer to the mound, a right-hander with a steady track record who’s capable of navigating Arizona’s power threats. The Orioles have fared well historically against Diamondbacks pitching, and with the matchup favoring their lineup and rotation depth, this feels like opportune timing for the Birds to claw out a road win. The plus-money value on Baltimore makes this a solid play, especially considering Arizona’s instability on the mound right now. Grade: B – good value with some risk due to Baltimore’s early inconsistency.

After dropping four of their last five, the Diamondbacks are struggling to find their offensive identity, and the normally slug-heavy Snakes have managed just 8 runs over that stretch. With power bat Christian Walker day-to-day due to a nagging wrist issue and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. off to a cold start (.189 BA), Arizona's run production is taking a hit. On the flip side, the Orioles—fresh off taking two of three in their last series—are leaning heavily on Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson, with Rutschman entering this game on a three-game hitting streak. Importantly, neither team is riding a scoring surge, and the projected pitching matchup of Dean Kremer for the O’s and Brandon Pfaadt for Arizona is shaping up to be a tight one. Kremer has a steady record against power-heavy lineups, while Pfaadt has struggled to consistently miss bats this season. With playoff contention still a distant consideration and some injury-related offensive limitations in play, expect a slower-paced game. The under holds modest value, meriting a cautious B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change.

The Snakes return to Phoenix looking to steady themselves after a rough patch, having dropped four of their last five, and they'll be leaning on Brandon Pfaadt to right the ship against a Baltimore squad showing signs of offensive life. The Orioles, winners of two straight, are riding a spark from Adley Rutschman’s recent hot streak and have seen steady contributions from Gunnar Henderson. While John Means remains on the IL with no clear timetable, Baltimore’s rotation has leaned on Dean Kremer to carry innings—and he’s looked solid doing so. Zac Gallen is active and not expected to start today, contrary to some earlier reports, making Pfaadt the focus of Arizona’s hopes. The Diamondbacks’ bullpen has also been taxed lately, while Baltimore’s relievers have found rhythm after some early season stumbles. With both teams sitting at 6–6 and the early season picture still forming, the O’s momentum and more stable arms tip the scales slightly. Betting the Diamondbacks against the spread offers less appeal under these updated conditions, so while Arizona at home has value, Baltimore’s recent form narrows the edge. Grade: B – decent value, but riskier than it first appears. Odds and availability are subject to change.