MLB

Braves vs Pirates

Bucs’ bats stay buried as Atlanta eyes road correction

Atlanta Braves

Braves (18-19) VS Pirates (12-26)

May 10, 2025 | 4:05 PM ET | PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Pirates
Moneyline Pick - Atlanta Braves (-145): B

Atlanta rolls into Pittsburgh riding a brief wave of positive momentum, while the Pirates continue to struggle through a 2-8 run. Despite each team dealing with depth issues, the broader trends still favor Atlanta. Their bullpen has been among the most effective in the league, particularly when compared to Pittsburgh's relief corps, which ranks near the bottom in most metrics. Additionally, Atlanta’s lineup has been showing signs of power resurgence, which may pose problems for a young Pittsburgh starter still trying to find consistency at the major league level.

Honestly, even with the road factor, the value on Atlanta isn’t bad at –145. You’ve got one team clicking in key areas—especially out of the bullpen—and another still trying to stop the bleeding. It’s not a slam dunk, but there’s enough working here to give this play a solid B-grade for both win probability and value.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/05/2025 09:40

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (-110): B+

The Braves head into Pittsburgh winning three of their last five, while the Pirates slide further and further back in the NL Central with their 2-8 run. Both teams are operating with diminished offensive firepower and thin bullpens, which puts even more pressure on the starting pitchers to hold serve. Fortunately for under bettors, both projected starters have a strong track record in this matchup, and neither offense has shown much spark lately.

Given the recent lack of production at the plate for both sides and how the starting pitching lines up, a low-scoring affair feels more likely than not. Even with a breeze pushing toward left field, the under still offers value. It’s not the flashiest bet, but with the game’s tone leaning toward a tight, quiet grind, the under nine earns a B+ for probability and payout.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/05/2025 09:40

Spread Pick - Atlanta Braves, -1.5 (+115): B

Atlanta enters this matchup with momentum on its side, while the Pirates continue to flounder through an awful run of form. The contrast in form overshadows any concerns about roster absences on either side. Atlanta’s bats have found life again, and facing a starter with a shaky track record against them only strengthens the case for their offense to keep rolling. Pittsburgh’s rotation depth remains thin, and the bullpen hasn’t been able to stop the bleeding during this slide.

Even on the road, Atlanta giving 1.5 runs at plus money feels like solid value. With the Pirates striking out frequently and struggling to generate sustained offense, the chances of a multi-run Braves win look good. It’s early in the season, but this spot has the makings of one of those wins that builds momentum beyond just the standings.

Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 10/05/2025 09:40

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