MLB

Braves vs Mets

Strider seeks spoils, but Queens crowd smells another home W.

Atlanta Braves

Braves (51-67) VS Mets (63-55)

Aug 13, 2025 | 7:10 PM ET | Citi Field, New York

New York Mets
Moneyline Pick - New York Mets (-195): B-

New York enters with a clear rotation edge, backed by a starter in dominant form and a bullpen performing at a higher level than their division rival’s. The Mets’ recent surge has kept them in playoff position, and their lineup has been productive against Atlanta pitching throughout the season. The Braves remain without key contributors and have struggled both offensively and on the mound since the break, creating a difficult environment to turn momentum around on the road. With Citi Field providing a lively backdrop, the matchup leans toward the home side.

From a betting standpoint, this prediction backs New York on the moneyline, expecting their starting pitching advantage and bullpen stability to carry through nine innings. The pick leans on current form, matchup history, and the urgency of the playoff race to outweigh Atlanta’s offensive potential. For bettors, it’s a calculated position that pairs statistical trends with situational motivation, making the Mets the more reliable side in this spot.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/08/2025 at 9:44am

Over/Under Pick - Under 9 (-105): B

Two in-form starters and a ballpark setup that favors pitchers point toward a controlled scoring environment in Queens. Both arms have been consistently limiting damage in recent outings, and the crosswind blowing in should further reduce the carry on fly balls, cutting into home run potential. Atlanta’s offense has been quiet during its current skid, while New York’s bullpen has been effective at neutralizing threats late, contributing to a run of low totals at home. With neither side finding steady success in clutch situations, offensive surges appear unlikely.

From a betting perspective, this prediction backs the under, banking on the starters to work deep and the bullpens to maintain control once they depart. The pick combines recent form, matchup history, and environmental factors to build a strong case for a game where runs come at a premium. For bettors, it’s a calculated angle that relies on pitching dominance and run suppression trends to stay below the posted number.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/08/2025 at 9:44am

Spread Pick - Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-125): C+

Atlanta’s knack for keeping losses close makes them a viable run-line option in this matchup, even against a favored Mets team. Their starter’s strikeout ability can limit big innings, giving the offense more chances to hang around despite recent struggles. New York’s bullpen, while improved, still shows vulnerability in save situations, and their track record of winning without covering larger spreads reinforces the potential for a tight finish. The overall profile suggests a competitive game rather than a comfortable home win.

From a betting perspective, this prediction favors Atlanta on the run line, offering protection in the event of a narrow defeat. The pick leans on pitching strength, late-game variance, and historical margin trends to find value in the extra cushion. For bettors, it’s a calculated way to back the underdog while still leaving room for the Mets to win outright, aligning with the expectation of a one-run contest.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 13/08/2025 at 9:46am

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