CBB

Arkansas State vs North Texas

Don't Count Out the Underdog... or Should You?

Arkansas State

Red Wolves (13-5-25-10) VS Mean Green (14-4-25-8)

Mar 23, 2025 | 19:00 ET | UNT Coliseum

North Texas
Moneyline Pick: North Texas (-180) - B+

North Texas rides a two-game winning streak behind a dynamic guard who consistently thrives against the Red Wolves, while Arkansas State struggles after three straight losses, further weakened by its starting center’s ongoing injury. The potential playoff implications loom large, yet the Mean Green’s track record this season and their remarkable interior defense make them tough to overthrow. Though Arkansas State has a few standout scorers with promising past performances against North Texas, the Mean Green’s improved offensive chemistry gives them a decisive edge in what has become a high-stakes showdown. This pick earns a B+ for both a solid likelihood of hitting and worthwhile returns.

Over/Under Pick: Over 137, (+110) - B+
North Texas, fueled by a three-game winning streak, looks primed to keep its foot on the gas against an Arkansas State squad desperate to snap a two-game slide. Arkansas State’s lineup took a blow when its starting forward landed on the injury report with a lingering ankle issue, while North Texas expects clear skies for most of its top five, setting the stage for faster rotation and scoring potential. History shows that the Red Wolves’ leading scorer has excelled against the Mean Green, consistently dropping double-digit buckets in their past encounters. North Texas guard phenoms have also tended to run up the numbers whenever they face defenses struggling in transition. With these factors in mind, the Over holds solid value at +110, and this bet picks up a B+ grade for its strong likelihood of cashing and the notable payout it could deliver.
Spread Pick: Arkansas State, +4 (-110) - B+

Arkansas State’s leading scorer returns from a minor ankle scare just in time to face North Texas, whose own four-game hot streak paints them as a tough hurdle for the Red Wolves. While North Texas has put together a string of strong finishes, Arkansas State hopes to bounce back from a recent two-game skid, eager to build on their past success in similar conference matchups. With no major new injuries reported for either squad, and given the Red Wolves’ history of storming back when pegged as underdogs, this feels like an ideal spot to make a statement. “Wolves Keep Howling” is the vibe ringing through this one, signaling that Arkansas State is poised to cover the spread. The wager rates as a B+ based on its solid likelihood and the decent return it should provide at -110 odds.

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