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Hornets vs Bulldogs

Hornets Set to Sting Delta Devils

Alabama State

Alabama State vs Mississippi Valley State

February 17th 2025 | 7:00 PM EST | Harrison HPER Complex

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Mississippi Valley State

Alabama State’s control should lead to an easy win

Grade A: Alabama State Moneyline (-2500)

Alabama State’s athleticism and defensive intensity make them a nightmare matchup for Mississippi Valley State, which has struggled to find consistent scoring and has one of the worst turnover margins in the conference. The Hornets excel at pushing the tempo when needed while also locking down defensively, a combination that should stifle the Delta Devils' half-court offense. With Alabama State a heavy favorite at -2500, the pick is the Hornets to win outright, though the payout is minimal. This bet earns an A rating for its near-certainty, though bettors looking for value may need to explore alternate lines or props.

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Can Alabama State cover the big spread on the road?

Grade B+: Alabama State Spread -18

Alabama State’s athleticism and defensive pressure should overwhelm a Mississippi Valley State team that has struggled to generate offence all season. The Hornets—often known for their aggressive full-court press—excel at forcing turnovers, which plays right into the Delta Devils’ biggest weakness: ball security. While Mississippi Valley State has shown fight at home, they lack the scoring firepower to keep up if Alabama State gets into an early rhythm. With the spread set at -18, the pick is Alabama State to cover, earning a B+ grade for its likelihood of success and a $90 potential return for those backing the Hornets to roll.

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Defence might outshine offence in this SWAC showdown

Grade B+: Under 138.5 Total Points

Alabama State’s defensive pressure has been a bright spot in an otherwise inconsistent season, while Mississippi Valley State—also known as the Delta Devils—has had one of the most inefficient offenses in the conference. The Hornets prefer to control tempo and force low-percentage shots, which could make it difficult for this game to reach the Over/Under of 138.5. With both teams struggling from deep and the Delta Devils lacking reliable offensive weapons, the Under 138.5 is the best play. This pick earns a B+ grade for its likelihood of success and offers a $75 return for those betting on a defensive battle.

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