MLB

Nationals vs Braves

Braves eye a sunrise statement as Nationals seek a late shock

Washington Nationals

Nationals (64-93) VS Braves (74-83)

Sep 24 2025 | 12:15 PM ET | Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Atlanta Braves
Moneyline Pick - Atlanta Braves (-190): B

Atlanta sends out a rotation anchor who has historically dominated this opponent, and the club’s underlying offensive profile continues to separate them from Washington. Even with lineup adjustments, the Braves have maintained a stronger September production rate, while the Nationals’ roster shuffle has thinned both their order and their relief options. Playing at home adds another layer of stability, as Atlanta’s performance in its own park has been notably better than the visitors’. With playoff positioning still relevant, the prediction points clearly toward Atlanta carrying the sharper edge in this divisional matchup.

When considering a bet, the Braves moneyline stands as the pick that balances reliability with matchup trends. Washington’s recent struggles, both in creating consistent offense and in sustaining late-inning execution, leave little margin for them to challenge a more complete Atlanta side. The line may not be cheap, but it fairly reflects the gap between these rosters at this stage of the season. For bettors scanning for a dependable angle, siding with Atlanta here makes sense given both form and context.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/24/2025 at 9:03am

Over/Under Pick - Under 9 (-105): B+

Atlanta’s starter has consistently racked up strikeouts against Washington, limiting their ability to put balls in play, and the Nationals’ road bats have struggled to generate much power since the break. Both bullpens enter this matchup in sharp form, combining for one of the lowest ERA marks in the league over the past week, which further reduces the likelihood of extended rallies. Add in neutral weather conditions that won’t artificially boost offense and a home lineup managing a couple of key knocks, and the prediction points to a game where scoring is kept in check.

For bettors, the under stands out as the pick that best aligns with how these teams are currently constructed. Atlanta can control tempo on the mound, while Washington’s lack of extra-base pop on the road makes it hard to threaten consistently. Even if either side manages a brief surge, the pitching profiles and bullpen depth suggest runs will be limited overall. It’s not the flashiest bet, but in terms of matchup dynamics, leaning under makes plenty of sense here.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/24/2025 at 9:04am

Spread Pick - Atlanta Braves, -1.5 (-105): B

Atlanta has consistently turned victories into comfortable margins, and the matchup against Washington sets up for a similar script. Their rotation ace has handled the Nationals effectively in prior meetings, limiting opportunities for the underdog to hang close. Washington, meanwhile, has repeatedly dropped games by more than a run, underscoring a tendency to fall behind and stay there. With the Braves motivated to close out the season on a high note and protect home field, the prediction favors not just a win, but a multi-run cushion.

From a betting perspective, the run line is the sharper pick compared to the moneyline given Atlanta’s track record. Their ability to stack runs once ahead, combined with Washington’s struggles to claw back, makes covering the number more likely than not. While the price reflects the imbalance, the recent patterns strongly support laying the run and a half in this spot. For those looking to back the Braves, this pick offers both value and alignment with how these matchups typically unfold.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/24/2025 at 9:05am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks