Jets vs Capitals

With Winnipeg on a two-game skid after consecutive losses to Carolina and Minnesota and Washington having won four of its last five, momentum leans toward the home side before we even factor in the rosters. The Jets are without Connor Hellebuyck after knee surgery landed him on injured reserve, forcing Eric Comrie into a starting role against a Capitals attack that has recently hung 7, 8, and 5 goals on opponents, while Winnipeg’s own offense has sputtered to three total goals across its last two outings. Historically this matchup has been tight — the Jets stole both meetings in overtime last season — but Ovechkin has absolutely shredded this franchise over his career with more than 50 goals against it, and now he’s backed by a deeper, high-scoring blue line led by Jakob Chychrun and John Carlson plus a red-hot Logan Thompson in net. With both teams still short of the 41-game mark the playoff picture is far from settled, yet Washington’s 7-5-1 home mark and superior health among its core skaters (especially down the middle, with Winnipeg also managing Neal Pionk’s lower-body issue) give the favorite a real edge; at -160 this is more of a solid but not elite value spot, worthy of a B+ rather than an all-in grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:43am

Both teams’ recent form and season-long scoring profiles point toward goals, even with the risk of a push at a flat 6: Winnipeg’s last four have averaged north of six total goals despite the Wild shutout, and on the season the Jets are around 3.2 goals for and 2.8 against per game, while Washington is at roughly 3.3 for and in the high twos against with four wins in its last five and 25 goals scored in that stretch. The key variable shift is Hellebuyck’s injury, which both weakens Winnipeg’s ability to suppress chances and encourages a more up-tempo trade-chances style on the road, especially when Comrie is in the crease opposite a Capitals team whose power play has been energized by Ovechkin’s recent multi-goal nights and Chychrun’s point-streak from the blue line. Add in that last season’s two meetings finished 5-4 and 3-2 in overtime — both one-shot games with stars on each side generating high-danger looks — and that neither club is yet at the halfway point where playoff seeding tightens defensive screws, and Over 6 at -120 grades out as a reasonable B play: good upside with some push protection, but not quite strong enough to justify an A given Washington’s occasionally suffocating defensive stretches. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:43am

Even with Winnipeg reeling from a two-game losing streak and the massive injury to Hellebuyck, the Jets’ combination of top-end skill (Mark Scheifele, Kyle Connor, Josh Morrissey) and generally strong five-on-five play makes it more likely this stays within a goal than turns into a Washington blowout, which is why the +1.5 puckline is the safer side despite the steep -195 price. The Capitals have indeed piled up recent multi-goal wins behind Ovechkin, Tom Wilson, and a surging Chychrun, but these teams played two overtime one-goal thrillers last season, and Washington’s current injuries to Pierre-Luc Dubois and the day-to-day Nic Dowd thin out the center depth that would normally help them sit on a late lead. With both clubs still well shy of 41 games, this isn’t yet a must-have statement spot in the standings, and Winnipeg’s decent 6-4-0 road mark suggests they can keep things tight even if the Caps ultimately cash the moneyline; however, the combination of heavy juice and the downside risk that Comrie gets overwhelmed by Washington’s hot power play drags this to a C+ value grade rather than something more aggressive. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:43am