Jets vs Oilers

Winnipeg comes in 2-3 over its last five while Edmonton is 3-2 and fresh off a 9-4 demolition of Seattle, and the biggest single variable on the moneyline is the Jets riding Eric Comrie instead of injured three-time Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck, who is out after knee surgery, while Edmonton’s absences (Jake Walman day-to-day, Kasperi Kapanen on IR-LT, Jack Roslovic out) are mostly depth pieces rather than core drivers. With the Oilers still boasting Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, and having already handled Winnipeg 4-1 in their last meeting back in April behind a multi-point night from McDavid, Edmonton’s elite 32.4% power play against a travel-weary Jets team on the second half of a busy stretch, plus the Oilers’ strong 6-3-2 home mark versus Winnipeg’s 7-7-1 road record, tilts this heavily toward the home side despite the Jets’ generally sound defensive metrics. The price at -205 isn’t cheap, but with Edmonton’s recent offensive spike, healthier top-six and the massive downgrade in Winnipeg’s crease, I’m grading Oilers moneyline as an A- pick: high win probability, solid but not spectacular return, best used as a primary anchor in parlays or for a confident straight stake. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/12/2025 09:50am

For the total, both teams’ recent patterns and key absences push this toward a more goal-heavy script: Edmonton has gone 3-2 in its last five with scorelines like 9-4, 4-0 and 6-3 showing the ceiling of an attack driven by McDavid and Draisaitl but also the volatility of a defense allowing 3.50 goals against per game, while Winnipeg is 2-3 over its last five and has yielded at least four goals in three of those contests with Hellebuyck sidelined. The Jets’ offense remains dangerous with Mark Scheifele (35 points) and Kyle Connor (15 goals) pacing a group averaging just over three goals per night, and their 21%-plus power play facing Edmonton’s merely average penalty kill adds another path to offense, especially given how frequently Oilers games swing on special teams. The counterargument is Winnipeg’s generally structured 5-on-5 play and Comrie’s solid underlying numbers, but between Edmonton’s second-ranked power play, both clubs’ middle-of-the-pack defensive rankings, and the Oilers’ tendency to open games up at Rogers Place, I lean to Over 6.5 at -110 with a B grade: a reasonably attractive even-money style payout with moderate risk given the high number, best for bettors comfortable embracing game flow volatility rather than banking on a tight, low-event contest. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/12/2025 09:50am

While I expect Edmonton to take care of business outright, the puckline calculus is different because recent streaks and team profiles suggest a competitive margin more often than a blowout: both clubs are 3-2 or 2-3 over their last five and the Oilers, despite the occasional explosion like 9-4 over Seattle, have also been involved in a string of one- and two-goal decisions, reflecting a defense that bleeds chances even when the offense is humming. Winnipeg’s major injury issues (Hellebuyck on IR, Haydn Fleury on IR, plus long-term Adam Lowry still working back from hip surgery) hurt their ceiling but Scott Arniel still rolls out a veteran, defensively responsible blue line led by Josh Morrissey and steady depth forwards like Alex Iafallo, Nino Niederreiter and Kyle Connor, which has historically allowed the Jets to keep games within a goal even when they ultimately lose, including against offensively tilted teams like Edmonton. Add in that the Oilers’ up-tempo, rush-heavy style can lead to trading chances rather than slow suffocation, and Jets +1.5 at -130 offers a better balance of risk and reward than laying -1.5 with an Edmonton team that still sits near the bottom of the league in goals against per game; I’m grading Winnipeg +1.5 as a B+ pick, with a strong likelihood of cashing and a fair price for bettors looking to correlate it with an Oilers moneyline or Over position in a same-game portfolio. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/12/2025 09:50am