Golden Knights vs Mammoth

With Vegas riding an extended point streak and Utah coming off a stretch where it dropped four in a row and has just a single win over its last handful of games, the underlying momentum clearly tilts toward the Golden Knights despite the Mammoth’s solid 6-2-1 home mark. Both sides are relatively healthy but thin on the blue line, with Vegas missing Jeremy Lauzon and Utah still managing Sean Durzi’s return from injured reserve, which slightly dings Utah’s puck-moving and power-play breakout more than it hurts Vegas’s deep defensive rotation. The matchup edge still leans to Vegas’s stars: Eichel just put up two goals and an assist here last week, and the Knights have historically handled Utah well, taking the season series last year and already owning a 4-1 win in this year’s set, while Akira Schmid’s form in net has been better than Karel Vejmelka’s. At close-to-pick’em money, that combination of current form, goaltending, and head-to-head track record makes Vegas -115 a modest value play rather than a slam dunk, so this gets a B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:35am

Recent form points to a tighter script than the market implies, with Utah grinding through a run of low-scoring, one-goal games (a string of 3-2 results plus the 4-1 loss to Vegas) and the Knights banking points behind a defensive structure that’s holding opponents under three goals per night. The injury picture (Lauzon and Durzi both on IR) shapes this more toward conservative, defense-first usage from each coaching staff, especially for a Utah group that has leaned on a hot penalty kill and a Vejmelka–Vaněček tandem posting sub-3.00 GAAs, while Schmid’s numbers and recent point streak speak for themselves. Add in that Vegas and Utah both sit around the three-goals-for, three-goals-against band on the season, that the first meeting landed comfortably on five total goals, and that Utah’s PK has been one of the league’s better recent units at home, and the Under 6 at -115 looks slightly undervalued relative to a likely 3-2 or 3-1 type outcome, earning a solid but not elite B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:35am

The streak profiles on both sides suggest a close game even if Vegas has the better overall form: the Knights are piling up points but have needed overtime in several recent outings, while Utah’s rough patch has been characterized more by one-goal heartbreaks than blowouts, with the 4-1 loss to Vegas the clear outlier. With Jeremy Lauzon still out for Vegas and Sean Durzi only just working back from injury, both blue lines are a touch compromised, which tends to compress the margin more than it favors repeated multi-goal wins for a road favorite in a back-to-back building matchup. Utah is a respectable 6-2-1 at home, Vejmelka’s underlying numbers remain competitive with Schmid’s, and the Mammoth’s top offensive pieces—Nick Schmaltz, Clayton Keller, and Logan Cooley—have already shown they can generate against this Knights group after pushing Vegas in last year’s series and carrying much of the offense in this season’s meetings. Given those factors and the tendency for divisional rematches to tighten up, Utah +1.5 at a steep -260 price looks like a high-probability but low-return way to leverage a likely one-goal spread, which lands at a B- grade on a risk/reward basis. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:35am