Canucks vs Ducks

With Vancouver riding a three-game losing streak and Anaheim sitting at 14-7-1 with an 8-2-0 mark at Honda Center, the Ducks moneyline at -170 looks justified despite the heavy price, especially given how Leo Carlsson, Troy Terry, Cutter Gauthier and Lukas Dostal headline a healthy Ducks core confirmed on ESPN’s current roster page while the Canucks’ side of Quinn Hughes, Elias Pettersson, Evander Kane and Brock Boeser is undercut by Thatcher Demko still on injured reserve, Kevin Lankinen out for this trip, and Derek Forbort on LTIR on the back end. The main counterweight is that Vancouver has absolutely owned this matchup recently, going 9-1-0 in the last 10 against Anaheim, so I’m tempering expectations slightly even though the form line (Ducks 6-4-0 in their last 10, Canucks 3-5-2 with 4.2 goals against per night) and Anaheim’s significantly better goal differential both lean toward the home favorite. Factor in that this is only Game 24 for Vancouver, so the playoff race isn’t yet a desperation spot, and I’d rather trust the deeper, better-structured Ducks team at home to extend Vancouver’s skid, projecting their win probability a bit above what -170 (about 62.9% implied) suggests and grading this play an A- as a high-confidence, moderate-value position where risking $170 to win $100 is still reasonable given Anaheim’s current ceiling. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 10:04am

Given Anaheim’s 3.59 goals per game on the season with 79 goals in 22 contests and 3.14 against, plus Vancouver’s 71 goals for and 86 against in 23 games, you’re looking at a combined scoring profile already north of 6.7 goals per game before even considering recent trends, where the Ducks’ last 10 are averaging about 6.1 total goals and the Canucks’ last 10 around 7.8 thanks to a leaky blue line and unsettled crease without Demko fully back. Vancouver’s special-teams mix (roughly 23% on the power play but a sub-70% penalty kill) facing Anaheim’s improving attack and still-mediocre penalty kill in front of a fast, offense-first top six led by Sherwood, Hughes and Pettersson for Vancouver and Carlsson, Gauthier and Terry for the Ducks sets up a high-event script, especially with Anaheim frequently playing in the three-to-four goal range and Vancouver’s road splits (6-5-1) including several high-scoring affairs. The downside is that if Dostal stands on his head or the Canucks offense hits a wall in the fourth straight game of a demanding stretch, the 6.5 at -120 can feel expensive, but I still see enough edge versus the implied 54.5% on Over 6.5 (-120) to grade this a B+, with the juice justified by both teams’ recent pace and defensive vulnerabilities. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 10:04am

On the puckline, Anaheim -1.5 at 143 offers a more volatile but higher-upside angle that leans on the Ducks’ ability to win by multiple goals at home — something they’ve already done against quality opponents like Detroit, Boston, Florida and Dallas — and on Vancouver’s recent run of multi-goal losses, including back-to-back defeats to Dallas and Calgary to extend a three-game skid. Anaheim’s 8-2-0 home record and +10 goal differential overall suggest they’re capable of pulling away when their forecheck is humming, especially with a deep forward group and Dostal’s strong early-season numbers, while Vancouver’s -17 differential and heavy defensive workload on a bruised blue line missing Forbort and backed by a goalie group in flux without Lankinen and with Demko only just rejoining the trip tilt the blowout risk toward the visitors. That said, Vancouver’s competitive 6-5-1 road mark and a long history of success against Anaheim — including a 9-1-0 run in their last 10 head-to-head — keep me from going higher than a B, because those trends point toward a one-goal game more often than the market might expect, even if the Ducks are the superior team right now. At 143, where a $100 stake returns $143 profit, there’s enough payoff to justify the extra variance, but it’s a secondary play behind the straight moneyline rather than a primary position. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 10:04am