Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio’s eight-game winning streak and 23-7 record, including an 11-2 mark at Frost Bank Center, make them overwhelming favorites on the -1100 moneyline against a Jazz team that’s just 4-6 over its last 10 and still giving up 127+ points per night.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) With Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox headlining a top-tier Spurs attack that hovers around 120 points per game, and Utah missing key frontcourt pieces like season-ending Walker Kessler plus Georges Niang and Ace Bailey, the talent and health gap is significant even with Fox listed day-to-day.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) Recent history also leans Spurs: Wembanyama hung 34 in last season’s 128-115 win over Utah, while Lauri Markkanen’s 31-and-12 explosion in a 130-118 Jazz win came against a much weaker Spurs group than this current contender.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401703407/spurs-jazz?utm_source=openai)) I’m backing San Antonio on the moneyline despite the terrible price, grading it a B because the win probability is very high but the payout is minimal. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:49

Lauri Markkanen and the Jazz offense have stayed hot during a 4-6 stretch over their last 10 games, while the Spurs ride a 9-1 heater into tonight behind Wembanyama and Fox, setting the stage for a lofty 245 total.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) Utah is averaging almost 124 points but surrendering close to 132 over that span, and San Antonio has been around 122.5 scored and 111.9 allowed, so their recent combined outputs frequently land in the mid-240s or higher.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) With the Jazz missing rim protector Kessler and versatile forward Niang, and both recent meetings finishing at 248 and 243 points, I lean to Over 245 at -110, though I only grade it a B- because the number is already inflated and any Fox minutes cap from his adductor issue could slow things just enough to flirt with the under.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:49

Victor Wembanyama’s Spurs have been bulldozing opponents during this eight-game winning streak and 9-1 run over their last 10, but that dominance is already baked into a massive -16.5 spread against a Jazz squad that, despite its 4-6 skid, is still putting up nearly 124 points per game.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) Utah’s shaky defense and Kessler’s season-ending shoulder injury mean San Antonio should control the matchup, yet the Jazz still have enough shot-making with Markkanen and Keyonte George to hang inside a big number, especially if Fox’s adductor issue trims his workload and ushers in earlier garbage time.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810295)) The last two meetings were decided by 12 and 13 points, both well inside this spread, so I’ll grab Utah +16.5 at -110 and grade it a B: uncomfortable fading the league’s hottest team, but the cushion and backdoor-cover potential offer solid value.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401703407/spurs-jazz?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:49