Jazz vs Spurs

San Antonio’s Victor Wembanyama leads a Spurs team riding a three-game home win streak and a 29-13, 15-5 home mark into this one against a Jazz group that’s 14-28, 5-16 on the road and 2-8 over its last 10, with a brutal 127.6 points allowed per game compared to San Antonio’s top-10 level 112.7. With Lauri Markkanen, Georges Niang and Walker Kessler all listed as out and Devin Vassell the lone notable Spurs absence, Utah loses its primary scorer and key frontcourt depth that powered a 127-114 upset in this same building on December 27, when Markkanen dropped 29 and Keyonte George 28 while Wembanyama still hung 32. Layer in that San Antonio sits second in the West with real seeding pressure while Utah is buried in 13th with far less urgency, and the on-paper gap is massive even if the Jazz already stole one meeting; the true edge here is probability, not payout, so I grade this moneyline pick a B given its high likelihood but modest standalone value at -1400. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/01/2026 10:11([africa.espn.com](https://africa.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810466?utm_source=openai))

Utah’s recent 2-8 skid has been fueled by chaos on both ends, but even with the Jazz giving up 129.3 per game over their last 10 and the Spurs winning six of 10 while holding opponents under 110 on average, 242.5 still sits well above their usual combined profile of 119.4 scored and 127.6 allowed for Utah versus 117.8 scored and 112.7 allowed for San Antonio. With Markkanen and Niang ruled out plus Walker Kessler done for the season, Utah’s offensive ceiling drops significantly, while Vassell’s absence trims some spacing around Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox and nudges the Spurs toward a more methodical, half-court approach—especially with San Antonio firmly in the top tier of the West and incentivized to control pace, not trade haymakers. Their last meeting finished 127-114 for a 241 total even with Markkanen going off, and in a likely Spurs-controlled game where a shorthanded Jazz side can slump for stretches, I like the Under 242.5 at -118 and grade it a B+ for combining solid probability with a still-reasonable price despite Utah’s defensive volatility. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/01/2026 10:11([africa.espn.com](https://africa.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810466?utm_source=openai))

San Antonio’s three-game home win streak, 15-5 home record and strong recent form (6-4 in its last 10) suggest another comfortable result against a Jazz team that’s 2-8 over its last 10, bleeding 129.3 points a night and now missing Markkanen, Niang and Kessler, but laying -16.5 still demands extended dominance and limited garbage-time leakage. The December 27 matchup in this building closed with Utah winning by 13 behind 29 from Markkanen and 28 from George while Wembanyama poured in 32, and with that primary Jazz engine out plus Spurs chasing top-two seeding in the West, there’s a clear narrative for an angry blowout if Fox, Wembanyama and San Antonio’s deep forward rotation get rolling early. At the same time, Utah’s young core (George, Sensabaugh, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams) and offensive baseline near 120 per game give them real backdoor cover potential once the Spurs ease off, so while I lean Spurs -16.5 at -110 on talent, matchup and playoff motivation, I only grade this spread pick a C because the number is inflated and highly sensitive to fourth-quarter game script. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/01/2026 10:11([africa.espn.com](https://africa.espn.com/nba/preview/_/gameId/401810466?utm_source=openai))