Utah Mammoth vs Anaheim Ducks Prediction

Anaheim’s 9-3-0 dominance at Honda Center meets a Utah side riding a four-game losing streak, all on the road and by multi-goal margins in three of those outings, which makes this close-to-pick’em number feel tilted toward the home favorite. Utah’s blue line is already missing Olli Maatta, Alexander Kerfoot remains out long term, and while Logan Cooley returned to full participation after his recent lower-body scare, he is coming off a heavy workload and a physical trip through Dallas, St. Louis and San Jose, while Anaheim is dealing primarily with goalie injuries (Lukas Dostal on IR and Petr Mrazek day-to-day) and the loss of Mikael Granlund, but still rolls out a deep forward group led by Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier, Troy Terry and Alex Killorn. Historically in this matchup, Terry and Olen Zellweger just combined for a last-gasp tying goal and overtime winner in a 3-2 Ducks comeback over Utah last month, while Cooley and Dylan Guenther both scored that night and Guenther buried the winner in last season’s 3-2 Utah home victory, so neither side will be surprised by the other’s top threats. With both teams still short of the 41-game mark this isn’t yet a true playoff-position fork in the road, but Anaheim sits atop the Pacific with a strong goal differential while Utah has slipped to break-even in both record and goals, and that context—combined with a clear home-ice edge and a Mammoth group that’s 5-9-2 away from Salt Lake—pushes me to back the Ducks at -110 on the moneyline with a B+ grade for solid edge and decent payout. Odds and availability are subject to change; This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:34am

Utah rolls into Anaheim having played four straight games that averaged exactly six total goals despite their current slump, and now faces a Ducks team whose 26 games have combined for nearly 6.9 goals on average, powered by one of the league’s most productive attacks and a penalty kill that still leaks chances. The recent form angle leans offense: Anaheim’s last seven contests include scorelines like 7-5, 5-4, 5-4 and 5-3, while Utah’s West Coast swing has produced 4-3, 4-3 and 6-3 results around a 1-0 grinder in St. Louis, suggesting that when they’re not smothered by a heavy defensive team they’re still trading chances at a healthy clip. Injuries nudge this toward a higher total as well, with Utah missing a key depth defender in Maatta and leaning heavily on Mikhail Sergachev and Nate Schmidt, while Anaheim is down its top two goalies and likely starting Ville Husso again behind an aggressive, attack-minded blue line featuring Zellweger and Pavel Mintyukov. The main caution is that the last two Ducks–Mammoth meetings both landed exactly 3-2, reflecting Utah’s structured five-on-five play and surprisingly strong penalty kill against Anaheim earlier this season, but with the Ducks’ offense humming, their goaltending depth stretched, and Utah’s road legs showing after a tough travel run, I lean to Over 6.5 at -115 with a B- grade given the juice and the head-to-head under trend. Odds and availability are subject to change; This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:34am

Given Utah’s four-game skid and the way those losses have escalated—from tight one-goal defeats in Dallas and St. Louis to a defensive collapse in a 6-3 loss at San Jose—there’s a realistic path for Anaheim’s deep forward group to stretch this into multi-goal territory, especially with the Ducks back home where they’ve already stacked several two-plus-goal wins against quality teams. The injury landscape supports volatility: Utah’s blue line is thinner without Maatta, their forwards are leaning heavily on a recently banged-up Cooley and a grieving captain in Clayton Keller, and Karel Vejmelka and Vitek Vanecek have seen a rising workload behind a team that’s spending more time in its own zone on this trip, while Anaheim’s main absences are in net, which increases both their offensive urgency and the chances of an empty-net cover if they’re nursing a late lead. Historically, this matchup has tilted toward one-goal games—three of the four meetings, including last month’s 3-2 OT Ducks win and last season’s 3-2 Utah victory—but that profile is baked into a Utah +1.5 line priced around -285, which offers very little return; in contrast, backing Anaheim -1.5 at +228 leverages their 9-3-0 home record, top-tier scoring pace and Utah’s fatigue to chase a plus-money payout at the cost of higher variance, which I grade as a B- puckline play. Odds and availability are subject to change; This bet was made at 03/12/2025 09:34am