MLB

Blue Jays vs Rays

Streaking north, Toronto looks to dim the dome’s last light.

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays (89-62) VS Rays (73-78)

18 Sep 2025 | 1:10 PM ET | Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, FL

Tampa Bay Rays
Moneyline Pick - Toronto Blue Jays (-130): B+

Toronto arrives with momentum and a rotation piece who has historically handled Tampa well, a valuable edge given the Rays’ lineup is missing key contributors. The Blue Jays’ staff has been steady of late, and with postseason positioning at stake, they’re likely to shorten the game with aggressive bullpen usage once they have a lead. Tampa’s reliance on piecemeal pitching has looked shakier without their late-inning anchor, leaving them vulnerable if Toronto applies pressure early. Taken together, the matchup tilts toward a Blue Jays moneyline prediction with reasonable confidence.

From a betting angle, the case rests on stability versus uncertainty. Toronto’s path is built on quality starting pitching and a structured relief plan, while Tampa leans heavily on a rotation-by-committee that hasn’t delivered the same results in September. Playing at this stage of the season with urgency on one side and roster holes on the other gives the visitors the edge, even if the price is modest. The pick here is to back Toronto, whose combination of health, form, and bullpen leverage makes them the smarter bet.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/18/2025 at 9:15am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8 (100): B

Tampa’s recent offensive slide only magnifies the challenge of facing a Toronto staff that has been one of the league’s sharper groups this month. With Berríos in form and a bullpen that has kept runs off the board throughout September, the Blue Jays are well equipped to control tempo. On the other side, Tampa’s young starter has shown the ability to induce ground balls, which should limit Toronto’s damage potential, particularly early in the day when bats can take longer to heat up. Combined with playoff-level intensity from umpires tightening zones, the setup leans toward an under prediction.

From a betting perspective, several situational angles reinforce the total. Toronto’s road games have already trended low, and Tampa’s missing bats make it unlikely they’ll consistently string together rallies against quality pitching. Even if the Jays hold the edge overall, their path to winning still runs through keeping the game under control rather than exploding for runs. With both sides positioned for a quieter scoreboard, the smarter bet is siding with the under.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/18/2025 at 9:17am

Spread Pick - Toronto Blue Jays, -1.5 (-135): B-

Toronto brings both statistical strength and matchup advantages into this one, with their run differential underscoring the gap between these clubs. A dependable starter gives the Jays a strong chance of carrying a lead deep, setting the stage for their bullpen to lock things down with minimal exposure. Tampa, meanwhile, has seen its relief corps falter in September, a weakness that could be magnified if their rookie starter doesn’t work long. The setup points clearly toward Toronto being capable of winning with margin, making the run line prediction a reasonable play.

From a betting standpoint, the trend is encouraging: when Toronto wins, they’ve often done so decisively, and that habit lines up well against an opponent that’s struggled to limit damage late. Even with a key bat managing a minor injury, the Jays’ overall offensive balance remains superior to Tampa’s diminished lineup. Factor in the bullpen contrast, and the pick here favors Toronto covering the spread, with confidence that their paths to victory extend beyond just squeaking out a one-run edge.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/18/2025 at 9:19am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks