MLB

Blue Jays vs Mariners

Northwest noise: Seattle's surge set to rock Game 3

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays (94-68) VS Mariners (90-72)

15 Oct 2025 | 8:08 PM ET | T-Mobile Park, Seattle

Seattle Mariners
Moneyline Pick - Seattle Mariners (-135): B

Seattle returns home with confidence after a pair of road wins, and the environment at T-Mobile Park should amplify its recent momentum. The Mariners’ bullpen has been airtight through the postseason, stringing together five scoreless innings that reinforce their edge in late-game situations. Toronto’s lineup, now missing a key contributor, faces an uphill climb against a staff that thrives in tight, pressure-filled contests. Even with questions surrounding the Mariners’ starting depth, their overall balance, crowd energy, and reliable relief corps make this prediction lean toward Seattle on the moneyline. The pick emphasizes rhythm, rest, and recent performance trends over roster uncertainty.

From a betting perspective, the -135 price tag offers a fair entry for a home team with strong situational advantages. Seattle’s combination of timely hitting, bullpen control, and familiarity with its home park positions it well to sustain its form. Toronto’s ongoing struggles to produce runs away from Rogers Centre, coupled with bullpen inconsistency, make the road side a tough sell. For bettors seeking stability and form-based logic, this play fits cleanly into a disciplined card.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/15/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 7 (-105): B-

Toronto’s pitching setup looks stretched thin entering Game 3, with its ace likely unavailable and a middle-relief unit facing heavy recent usage. That sets up well for a Seattle offense already producing double-digit runs across the first two contests. The Mariners’ balanced mix of contact hitters and emerging power plays efficiently at T-Mobile Park, particularly with environmental conditions tending to aid right-handed pull hitters this time of year. Meanwhile, Toronto’s veteran bats are overdue for regression to the mean, hinting at a livelier offensive showing. This prediction leans toward an up-tempo start where run production arrives early and sustains throughout.

From a betting standpoint, the Over at seven offers value given the pitching fatigue and underlying offensive trends. Both clubs have the potential to cash in against middle-inning arms, and the matchup’s park factors further encourage scoring. With neither side positioned to fully control the tempo from the mound, the total looks vulnerable well before the late innings. Bettors seeking early fireworks and favorable environmental context should find the play appealing for its combination of logic and timing.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/15/2025 at 9:40am

Spread Pick - Seattle Mariners, -1.5 (-162): B-

Seattle’s balance of power and bullpen stability makes it a strong candidate to extend its edge at home. The Mariners’ late-inning duo continues to lock down leads, effectively trimming games to six innings for opponents. With Toronto’s lineup missing one of its most consistent contact hitters and relying on a patchwork infield, defensive cracks could surface under pressure. Seattle’s left-handed bats match up well against a righty-dominant relief group, and recent offensive momentum reinforces the likelihood of sustained scoring pressure. This prediction favors the Mariners not only to win but to do so with breathing room, given their bullpen advantage and situational control.

From a betting perspective, the -1.5 puckline equivalent at -162 offers reasonable value when factoring in home-field energy and matchup alignment. Seattle’s combination of platoon strength, elite relief pitching, and lineup depth creates a strong setup for a two-run outcome. Toronto’s thin middle innings and depleted defense leave little margin for error, making this play more about sustained execution than volatility. For bettors chasing reliability with moderate juice, this pick fits that mold.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/15/2025 at 9:00am

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