MLB

Blue Jays vs Yankees

Bronx duel where value hides in plain pinstripes

Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays (94-68) VS Yankees (94-68)

Oct 07 2025 | 8:08 PM ET | Yankee Stadium, Bronx NY

New York Yankees
Moneyline Pick - Toronto (+130): B

Toronto enters this matchup with confidence and form, propelled by consistent offensive production and strong recent pitching. The Blue Jays’ ability to sustain quality at-bats against high-velocity starters gives them an edge against a New York staff showing signs of fatigue. Gausman’s success in the Bronx and the team’s current winning rhythm reinforce their standing as a live underdog. Meanwhile, New York’s offense has cooled, and minor health concerns among key contributors could further dampen their output. This prediction favors Toronto’s steadier lineup and mound advantage to carry through in a competitive, statement-style road win.

From a betting standpoint, the underdog moneyline presents appealing value in a matchup where recent performance and pitching trends align. Toronto’s offense has found its stride against right-handers, and its starter’s command profile fits perfectly for a park that punishes mistakes. With New York’s form dipping and injury factors potentially limiting its explosiveness, this pick reflects a calculated play on momentum and matchup balance.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/07/2025 at 9:11am

Over/Under Pick - Under 7.5 (-105): B+

Two elite starters set the tone for a matchup that profiles as a pitcher’s duel from start to finish. Both rotations have been sharp down the stretch, consistently limiting damage while working deep into games, and their respective bullpens remain equipped for high-leverage workloads. With each lineup showing recent scoring slumps—New York struggling to manufacture runs and Toronto cooling off against upper-tier velocity—the conditions point toward sustained stretches of quiet offense. Given the stakes and managerial willingness to lean on fresh relief arms, this prediction favors a controlled tempo and limited scoring opportunities throughout.

From a betting perspective, the Under aligns with both recent trends and situational context. Playoff-type pressure often suppresses aggression at the plate, and with both starters capable of minimizing baserunners, offensive rhythm will likely be hard to sustain. Even if either side flashes late-inning pop, bullpen depth and execution should cap total production. For bettors seeking a disciplined, low-variance angle, backing the Under offers reliable value supported by form and game environment alike.

This prediction gets an B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/07/2025 at 9:00am

Spread Pick - Toronto, +1.5 (-165): B+

Toronto’s knack for tight finishes and late-game execution makes the run-line play an appealing option in a matchup expected to stay close. The Blue Jays have thrived in narrow-margin contests, backed by dependable starting pitching and situational poise that translates well to high-pressure environments. New York’s bullpen inconsistency and lineup health concerns add volatility, particularly beyond the starter’s outing, giving Toronto a realistic path to remain within a run even if it trails late. With both teams built around strong rotations rather than explosive offense, this prediction favors a one-score outcome that rewards the underdog spread.

From a betting standpoint, taking the run and a half provides practical value tied to Toronto’s season-long competitiveness in close games. Their proven ability to handle extra innings and capitalize on late opportunities gives this pick a statistical foundation beyond recent form. With New York’s middle relief less trustworthy and offensive depth compromised, the plus-run cushion becomes a smart, risk-managed approach.

This prediction gets an B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/07/2025 at 9:10am

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