NBA
Raptors vs Pacers
Hot-handed Pacers test resurgent Raptors, but depth tips the balance north.

Toronto Raptors
Raptors (24-17) VS Pacers (9-31)
January 14, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Indiana Pacers

Moneyline Pick - Toronto Raptors (-150): B
Toronto's 24-17 record and position in the East playoff mix make them the steadier side on the moneyline against a 9-31 Indiana team that’s riding a three-game win streak after a brutal month-long slide. With Tyrese Haliburton done for the season and Bennedict Mathurin, Isaiah Jackson, and Obi Toppin all dealing with injuries, the Pacers are heavily dependent on Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard, while the Raptors—though still missing RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl—can lean on a healthier core featuring Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, and Immanuel Quickley. Ingram already buried a game-winner against Indiana earlier this season, and Siakam has a track record of big nights versus Toronto, but the Raptors’ superior net rating, turnover profile, and clearer playoff urgency at the halfway point make their -150 moneyline worth backing, graded a B for solid but not elite value given Indiana’s recent home surge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/01/2026 09:37 ([790louisville.iheart.com](https://790louisville.iheart.com/content/2026-01-14-raptors-vs-pacers-time-tv-stream-jan-14/?utm_source=openai))
Over/Under Pick - Under 223.5, (-118): B+
Pacers games have recently tilted toward grind-it-out scores—like their 98-96 win over Boston—as their Haliburton-less offense hovers near the bottom of the league while still allowing a high defensive rating, and that profile meshes with a Raptors team whose last three outings have included one overtime shootout but also two more controlled totals in the low 220s. Indiana’s injury list (Haliburton, Mathurin, Jackson, Toppin) keeps creation duties funneled through Siakam and Nembhard, while Toronto’s length with Barnes, Ingram, and a defensively solid guard rotation has generally translated into top-tier opponent field-goal numbers and a willingness to slow things down when protecting their playoff positioning. With these teams already having played tight, lower-scoring contests in recent meetings and the halfway-point stakes likely nudging both coaches toward shorter rotations and more halfcourt possessions, Under 223.5 at -118 gets a B+ grade for combining a modest edge with reasonable juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/01/2026 09:37 ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/basketball/pascal-siakams-floater-lifts-pacers-past-celtics--flm-2026-01-13/?utm_source=openai))
Spread Pick - Toronto Raptors, -2.5 (-110): B
Scottie Barnes gives Toronto a two-way ceiling Indiana can’t quite match, and even though the Pacers have covered during their three-game surge, their season-long -7.6 point differential and injury-decimated depth make it harder to trust them to stay within a short -2.5 number against a Raptors side that’s been solid against the spread over its last 10. With RJ Barrett still sidelined but Ingram back to reprise his late-game success versus Indiana and Barnes, Quickley, and a deep supporting cast calibrated for a top-six push in the East, Toronto’s overall talent and versatility stack up better than a Pacers squad leaning heavily on Siakam’s all-around brilliance. Given how close recent head-to-heads have been, laying fewer than three points on the road isn’t without risk, but the combination of superior roster health at the top, playoff motivation, and more consistent halfcourt execution earns Raptors -2.5 at -110 a B grade on the spread. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/01/2026 09:37 ([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/pacers-vs-raptors-prediction-odds-picks-jan-14?utm_source=openai))
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