NHL

Maple Leafs vs Sabres

Can Toronto turn the tide, or will Buffalo stay hot?

Toronto Maple Leafs

TOR (3-3-1) VS BUF (3-4-0)

24 Oct 2025 | 6:00 PM ET | KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Buffalo Sabres
Moneyline Pick - Maple Leafs (-125): B+

Toronto enters this matchup with motivation and matchup leverage, carrying an offense that continues to generate high-quality looks despite recent results. The Maple Leafs’ scoring depth and star-driven shot creation should prove decisive against a Buffalo lineup stretched thin by injuries at center and in net. Even with a couple of absences on the blue line, Toronto’s forward combinations possess enough chemistry to dictate pace and zone time. This prediction favors the visitors’ firepower and experience to reclaim form against a Sabres side still patching holes throughout its rotation.

From a betting standpoint, the play rests on roster reliability and offensive balance. Toronto’s top six remains one of the league’s most efficient scoring units, and Buffalo’s untested goaltending core faces a difficult assignment against a high-volume attack. The price offers fair value given the disparity in finishing talent and overall structure. Backing the Maple Leafs aligns with both matchup logic and regression toward their expected scoring output.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/24/2025 at 9:40am

Over/Under Pick - Over 6 (-115): B

Both clubs enter this matchup leaning heavily on offensive rhythm, setting up a pace-driven game with plenty of scoring chances. Toronto’s recent defensive lapses and short-handed blue line have inflated shot totals, while Buffalo’s transition-heavy attack under Lindy Ruff continues to generate odd-man rushes and rebound looks. Add in two power plays clicking above 23 percent and the likelihood of extended zone time for both sides, and this prediction points toward a wide-open contest that comfortably clears the six-goal mark.

From a betting perspective, the Over benefits from roster context and current form. The Leafs’ offensive stars remain capable of multi-goal bursts, but their undermanned defense keeps games volatile. Buffalo’s improved tempo and finishing touch complement that chaos, making sustained scoring runs realistic across all three periods. Given the matchup dynamics and special-teams efficiency, the Over carries strong situational support.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/24/2025 at 9:43am

Puckline Pick - Maple Leafs, -1.5 (+205): C+

Toronto’s offensive ceiling makes the puckline worth a calculated swing despite Buffalo’s recent surge. The Maple Leafs’ top unit consistently exploits the Sabres’ penalty kill and defensive gaps, giving them multiple paths to separation if they dictate pace early. Even with Buffalo carrying momentum, Toronto’s finishing power and ability to sustain zone pressure tilt the matchup toward another multi-goal outcome. This prediction views the visitors as the higher-variance but higher-upside side, with the empty-net factor offering a realistic cushion late.

From a betting standpoint, this pick favors potential over safety. Toronto’s historical dominance in this matchup and offensive talent support the plus-money angle, though Buffalo’s home comfort and transition speed inject risk. For bettors comfortable with volatility, the combination of proven scoring trends and matchup familiarity makes this puckline play a justifiable small-stake option.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/24/2025 at 9:45am

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