MLB

Tampa Bay vs Chicago

Windy City showdown where home dominance meets playoff desperation.

Tampa Bay Rays

Rays (72-73) VS Cubs (83-63)

Sep 12, 2025 | 2:20 PM ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-165): Grade B-

Chicago comes into this matchup with momentum on its side, backed by both recent offensive rhythm and strong bullpen support. Their starter has been steady throughout the year, and with a relief corps ranking near the top of the league since the break, the Cubs have the arms to control the late innings. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, continues to struggle without key lineup contributors, and their recent form has exposed inconsistencies at the plate. With Wrigley providing an added edge, the matchup leans clearly toward the home side.

From a betting perspective, Chicago is the sharper prediction here. The Cubs’ combination of starting stability, bullpen reliability, and recent offensive production makes them the stronger bet compared to a Rays team still finding its footing. While no price is without risk, the fundamentals and recent trends line up well for the North Siders, making them the pick in this spot.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/12/2025 at 9:10am

Over/Under Pick - Over 7.5 (+100): Grade B

Both sides bring offensive upside into this matchup, with Chicago thriving at Wrigley and Tampa still capable of producing power despite recent inconsistencies. The Rays’ bullpen has been heavily used and vulnerable on this road trip, while the Cubs have consistently generated scoring at home. With each lineup ranking among the league’s better home-run producers, conditions favor a game where contact translates into runs rather than prolonged droughts. Midday Wrigley settings can also add to offensive variance, giving hitters an added boost.

For bettors, the Over shapes up as the stronger prediction. Even if Tampa tries to manage innings through an opener, the strain on their relief corps leaves them exposed, and Chicago’s bats have been in good enough form to take advantage. Pair that with the Rays’ lingering power threat, and the case for a total climbing past 7.5 is strong. While overs always come with some volatility, the matchup context makes this bet appealing.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/12/2025 at 9:11am

Spread Pick - Tampa Bay Rays +1.5 (-155): Grade C+

Chicago holds the advantage overall, but the spread opens a window for Tampa to keep this matchup competitive. The Rays have been effective in the underdog role this season, often finding ways to stay within striking distance even against quality arms. Meanwhile, many of the Cubs’ wins have come by the slimmest of margins, reflecting a reliance on their closer to secure tight finishes. That combination points toward another scenario where the outcome could hinge on a late inning, making the extra run appealing.

From a betting perspective, Tampa Bay with the cushion is the sharper prediction. Their track record as sizable road underdogs, combined with Chicago’s frequency of narrow victories, aligns well with a one-score finish. While the Cubs may still be the likelier outright winner, the Rays offer value against the spread in a spot where both teams have reason to push hard. For bettors, the insurance of the extra run makes Tampa the pick.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/12/2025 at 9:12am

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