NHL

Blues vs Capitals

Skidding teams collide, but only one streak can survive.

St. Louis Blues

STL (4-7-2) VS WSH (6-5-1)

05 Nov 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Capital One Arena, Washington D.C.

Washington Capitals
Moneyline Pick - Washington Capitals (-155): B

Washington enters with meaningful structural advantages despite recent results, leaning on improved puck movement and special-teams balance to offset its brief slump. The Capitals’ deeper forward rotation and renewed blue-line stability position them well against a St. Louis club still searching for consistency in its own zone. Travel fatigue and goaltender workload further tilt the matchup toward the home side, particularly as Washington’s five-on-five metrics suggest steadier territorial control. This prediction favors the Capitals using tempo and possession to regain traction against an opponent vulnerable in transition and defensive coverage.

From a betting perspective, the pick aligns with both form and circumstance. Washington’s rested lineup and superior special-teams production offer a measurable edge, while St. Louis’ travel schedule and recent defensive lapses limit upset probability. The modest moneyline provides fair value for a home favorite showing clear situational strengths.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/05/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 6, (-110): C+

Washington’s offensive rhythm has cooled of late, but facing one of the league’s more porous defenses offers the right setup for a rebound. The Capitals’ power play remains capable of exploiting a struggling penalty kill, and their top six continues to generate consistent looks even if conversion has lagged. St. Louis brings counterpunch potential with its speed-driven attack, though its defensive structure and goaltending workload remain glaring concerns. Given both teams’ profiles—offensive upside paired with defensive vulnerability—this prediction points toward an open, back-and-forth contest featuring plenty of scoring chances.

From a betting standpoint, the matchup leans clearly toward the Over. Each side has shown the capacity to create quality opportunities, and both defenses rank in the lower third of efficiency metrics. With the likelihood of multiple power-play goals and fatigue factors for the visitors, a total in the six-to-seven range feels attainable.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/05/2025 at 9:00am

Puckline Pick - St. Louis Blues, +1.5 (-205): B-

Both clubs have leaned toward tight finishes this season, with defensive inconsistency offset by disciplined late-game structure. St. Louis continues to keep contests within reach thanks to steady goaltending and strong faceoff play that limits extended defensive-zone time. Washington’s attack remains top-heavy, and while capable of bursts, it often struggles to create sustained multi-goal separation. The combination of controlled tempo, modest scoring efficiency, and reliable netminding supports a projection for another close result. This prediction favors the visitors staying competitive throughout and avoiding a blowout scenario.

From a betting standpoint, taking the extra goal and a half aligns with recent trends and matchup dynamics. The Blues’ ability to manage possession and their track record in one-goal games lend credibility to the play, even if the price carries heavier juice. It’s a cautious but defensible angle built on statistical consistency rather than volatility.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/05/2025 at 9:00am

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