Blues vs Mammoth

Clayton Keller and the Utah Mammoth roll into this one on a two-game heater and three wins in their last four, while the Blues limp in off a 7-3 beating in Chicago that continued their uneven stretch of alternating wins and lopsided losses. With St. Louis already missing Pius Suter down the middle and leaning heavily on Robert Thomas for primary offense, their thin forward depth is a concern against a Utah group that, even while managing recent absences for Logan Cooley and Alexander Kerfoot, can still run Keller, Dylan Guenther and a deep supporting cast in favorable matchups at home. Keller’s long-term production against this franchise, combined with Jordan Binnington’s merely middling career record versus the old Coyotes core now wearing Mammoth sweaters, tilts the individual matchup edge toward Utah’s top six, and the team-level profile backs it up: the Mammoth are running a positive goal differential with over three goals per night while St. Louis is underwater at both ends and near the bottom of the league in goals against. With both clubs hovering just below the Western wild-card cut line around the halfway mark, this is effectively a four-point swing game, and Utah’s home-ice advantage and superior five-on-five play justify them as favorites even if the -175 price isn’t a screaming bargain. I’m backing Utah Mammoth on the moneyline, but at this number it earns only a solid value grade of B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/01/2026 09:32

The recent form and matchup dynamics point toward enough offense for this total to clear 5.5 despite a pair of capable goaltenders. Utah has been playing to a profile of roughly three goals for and under three against per game, and their last handful of outings at Delta Center have featured multi-goal bursts from a top unit built around Keller plus secondary finishers like Guenther and Lawson Crouse, even with Cooley working back from injury; that depth is a problem for a Blues team allowing north of three and a quarter per night with a penalty kill sitting in the bottom third of the league. On the other side, St. Louis may be inconsistent but they’ve mixed a 2-0 shutout of Montreal with games of three or more goals against teams like Vegas and Chicago, and Utah’s still-evolving defensive structure and average-at-best penalty kill can give Robert Thomas and the Blues’ power play enough cracks to contribute. The clubs have already split two low-scoring head-to-heads in the last calendar year, but when you fold in current defensive numbers, special-teams rankings, and the desperation of two bubble teams chasing every regulation point, the game script tilts toward a more open third period with empty-net risk on either side. With -125 still reasonable juice for six or more goals in this environment, I like Over 5.5 and grade it a B+ for a blend of solid hit probability and decent payoff. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/01/2026 09:32

Given the way these teams are trending, Utah to cover -1.5 at 140 is tempting but clearly higher variance than the moneyline. The Mammoth have shown they can stretch out wins at home when they get the first goal, with recent two- and three-goal victories sparked by their scoring depth and solid goaltending from Karel Vejmelka, and St. Louis’ ugly goal-against numbers plus a road-heavy stretch of schedule increase the chance that another bad special-teams night or early penalty trouble turns this into a multi-goal hole. At the same time, the Blues have played a pile of one-goal games this season — including a 1-0 win over Utah in St. Louis — and Binnington is fully capable of stealing enough saves to keep a contest inside the margin even when outshot, especially against a Mammoth power play that has been below league average. With both clubs still clawing for wild-card relevance and likely to shorten benches in the third period, late-game empty-net scenarios do boost the chance of Utah landing a second or third goal, but the combination of St. Louis’ tendency to hang around and Utah’s occasional scoring droughts keeps this from being more than a modest plus-money stab. I’ll lean to Utah Mammoth -1.5 on the puckline at 140, but it’s a thinner edge that earns only a C+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/01/2026 09:32