NHL

Blues vs Penguins

Gateway slump meets Steel City surge—bet accordingly.

St. Louis Blues

STL (3-3-1) VS PIT (6-2-0)

October 27, 2025 | 6:00 PM ET | PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA

Pittsburgh Penguins
Moneyline Pick - Pittsburgh Penguins (+100): B+

Pittsburgh enters Monday’s matchup showing strong balance and momentum, producing a steady scoring clip and tightening up defensively during its recent surge. The Penguins’ depth down the middle and improved power-play rhythm have stabilized their attack despite a few lingering injuries. St. Louis, meanwhile, has struggled to contain quality chances, and its defensive structure has frayed under pressure—particularly on the penalty kill. The gap in five-on-five efficiency and shot control tilts this prediction toward the home side, which has also converted its scoring chances at a higher rate over the past two weeks. The matchup metrics suggest this bet aligns with value at current odds, especially against a visitor still searching for rhythm.

From a betting perspective, Pittsburgh’s puck movement and home-ice comfort make this pick more appealing than the price implies. St. Louis may push the tempo early, but its recent defensive lapses and inconsistency in net make it tough to trust on the road. Bettors backing the Penguins can expect sustained offensive pressure to pay off if they maintain recent possession numbers. Overall, this prediction carries solid reasoning and situational backing heading into Monday’s action.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/27/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 6 (-110): B

Both teams enter Monday leaning on offensive firepower and pace rather than structure, setting up an appealing environment for goals. St. Louis continues to create quality looks off the rush and has been part of several up-tempo matchups lately, while Pittsburgh’s attack has surged with sharper puck circulation and an efficient power play. Defensive lapses and high shot volumes on both sides contribute to an elevated scoring profile, particularly with neither team getting consistent goaltending. The recent metrics—ranging from expected-goal rates to power-play conversion—support this prediction as one of the stronger value totals on the slate, especially at a modest number.

From a bettor’s angle, this pick makes sense given both clubs’ current identity: quick transitions, aggressive forechecks, and penalty-kill vulnerabilities that feed open ice. Pittsburgh’s ability to sustain zone time combined with St. Louis’s counterattack potential gives this bet multiple scoring paths. If early chances translate, this could clear comfortably before the third period. With offensive depth outperforming defensive reliability, riding the over fits both logic and trend.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/27/2025 at 9:00am

Puckline Pick - Pittsburgh Penguins, +1.5 (-260): C

St. Louis has shown flashes of control before late breakdowns, but its inability to close games underscores defensive and goaltending inconsistencies that remain unresolved. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, has thrived in tight-score environments, often dictating tempo through puck possession and disciplined neutral-zone play. While the price on the puckline doesn’t offer much value, the analytical edge still leans toward the home side thanks to stronger underlying shot metrics and faceoff dominance. From a prediction standpoint, this matchup favors the more stable team structure and recent form, making the Penguins the more trustworthy option.

When weighing the bet, it’s less about chasing payout and more about minimizing volatility. Pittsburgh’s reliability in one-goal scenarios aligns with the safer play, even if the odds are steep. St. Louis’ recent pattern of surrendering leads and uneven special-teams play makes it tough to justify an upset pick. For bettors prioritizing consistency over risk, the puckline remains the logical route despite its modest return.

This prediction gets a C grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/27/2025 at 9:05am

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