Blues vs Stars

The Stars have won five in a row and eight of their last nine, including back-to-back one-goal victories over the Blues on January 23 and 27, while St. Louis enters on a two-game skid and has hemorrhaged 11 goals in its last two outings. With Robert Thomas on injured reserve until after the Olympic break and Dylan Holloway also sidelined, the Blues are missing a key play-driving center and depth scoring, whereas Dallas has its full core of Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, Matt Duchene and Jake Oettinger intact aside from depth defender Ilya Lyubushkin. Dallas’ top six has repeatedly driven late-game goals against St. Louis this season, and Wyatt Johnston in particular has produced a point-per-game clip in his career against the Blues, underscoring a matchup edge at even strength. Given the Stars’ 33-14-9 record, current heater and home-ice leverage in a playoff race where every point matters, laying -225 on the moneyline is a high-confidence but juice-heavy position that I grade as an A- in probability with only moderate value due to the price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/02/2026 09:54

Recent form from both sides points toward goals: the Blues’ last three games have finished 5-4, 5-3 and 6-5, highlighting leaky team defense and inconsistent goaltending, while Dallas has scored at least three in six straight, including 3-2 and 4-3 wins over St. Louis and a 4-3 overtime win against Winnipeg. The Blues’ blue line has struggled to protect the net without a fully healthy forward group, and losing Thomas further weakens their puck management and penalty kill structure in front of Jordan Binnington and Joel Hofer. On the other side, Dallas’ power play built around Robertson, Hintz, Duchene, Mikko Rantanen and Thomas Harley has been punishing recently and just burned St. Louis multiple times in that late-January mini-series, which matters in a matchup where discipline has already swung previous totals. With the total sitting at 6 and both clubs already past the midway point of the season—Stars pushing for Central Division positioning and the Blues in must-win territory to keep distant playoff hopes alive—an open, offensive game script favors the Over 6 at -110, which I grade as a B+ for a mix of solid likelihood and reasonable payoff. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/02/2026 09:54

The puckline is trickier because the last two meetings were decided by a single goal, but the context around this one tilts slightly toward Dallas covering -1.5 at -110: the Stars have controlled play enough to build multi-goal cushions lately, are riding a five-game win streak, and now draw a Blues team that just played a high-event loss in Nashville and is without its top center while also dealing with recent knocks to Jordan Kyrou and Jake Neighbours. St. Louis has already been outscored by multiple goals in several recent defeats, and their defensive-zone execution late in games has repeatedly cracked under pressure from Dallas’ deep forward group and active blue line, as seen in Harley’s late winner and prior Robertson dagger. With Dallas firmly in the playoff hunt and incentivized to bury a vulnerable divisional opponent at home, there’s a realistic path to an empty-net cover, but prior one-goal decisions and the Blues’ desperation keep volatility high, so I grade Stars -1.5 as a B—decent upside at near-even money but with noticeably more risk than the moneyline. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 04/02/2026 09:54