NHL

Blues vs Flames

Cold front in Calgary—can the Blues turn flames to frost?

St. Louis Blues

STL (0-1-0) VS CGY (1-1-0)

2025-10-11 | 3:00 PM ET | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary AB

Calgary Flames
Moneyline Pick - St. Louis Blues (-125): B+

St. Louis heads into this matchup with more lineup stability and a proven edge in finishing ability, setting the stage for a bounce-back performance after its opening loss. The Blues’ offense has historically produced well against Calgary, and their defensive core remains intact enough to control pace in transition. Calgary, meanwhile, is dealing with multiple forward absences and limited secondary scoring options, making it harder to sustain pressure or match St. Louis’s offensive tempo. With the visitors boasting the more reliable goaltending tandem and a strong road scoring profile, this prediction leans toward their ability to dictate the game and capitalize on depth mismatches.

From a betting perspective, this pick backs St. Louis on the moneyline at –125, a fair price for the healthier, more balanced roster. Calgary’s lineup shuffles and inexperienced goaltending create situational value for the visitors, especially if they start fast and keep play in the offensive zone. The setup points to an efficient, controlled win rather than a shootout.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/12/2025 at 9:30am

Over/Under Pick - Under 5.5 (+100): B

Injuries on both benches set up a slower, more structured matchup where defensive responsibility outweighs offensive creativity. Calgary’s lineup lacks several key forwards, reducing its ability to generate consistent zone pressure, while St. Louis could also be limited by depth concerns if one or two regulars remain sidelined. Both teams struggled to finish chances in their first few outings, and the early-season special-teams inefficiency only adds to the expectation of muted scoring. Recent head-to-head trends reinforce the pattern, with past meetings leaning heavily toward low totals and limited high-danger exchanges. This prediction points to another grind-it-out game defined by goaltending and puck management.

From a betting perspective, this pick supports the Under 5.5 at plus money, reflecting the likelihood of defensive pace control and inconsistent power-play conversion. The combination of short benches, conservative systems, and historical scoring data creates solid value on the low side of the total. It’s a patient wager suited to early-season rhythm and lineup instability.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/12/2025 at 9:10am

Puckline Pick - St. Louis –1.5 (+205): B-

St. Louis holds the matchup advantage in both experience and forward depth, and that balance makes a multi-goal outcome plausible if the visitors start quickly. The Blues’ top lines are built to sustain offensive-zone time and capitalize on a Calgary defense still integrating younger players into heavier minutes. The Flames’ short bench and ongoing defensive gaps make it difficult to protect leads or contain second-chance opportunities. Should St. Louis grab an early advantage, the odds of an empty-net or late insurance tally increase sharply. This prediction points toward the visitors dictating tempo through puck control and shot volume.

From a betting standpoint, this pick targets St. Louis at -1.5 on the puck line for the value-laden +205 return. The play carries natural volatility but aligns with matchup metrics and lineup health, offering stronger payout potential than the straight moneyline. It’s a calculated, higher-reward position supported by situational edges and depth advantages.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/12/2025 at 9:20am

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