NHL

Blues vs Sabres

Hot Sabres smell blood in slumping Blues waters.

St. Louis Blues

STL (4-7-2) VS BUF (5-4-4)

Nov 6, 2025 | 7:00 p.m. ET | KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Buffalo Sabres
Moneyline Pick - Buffalo Sabres (-135): B+

Buffalo enters this matchup with sustained momentum, having tightened defensive gaps and improved special teams efficiency throughout its current surge. The Sabres’ penalty kill remains among the league’s most reliable, a key advantage against a St. Louis unit struggling to convert and defend consistently. The Blues’ recent defensive lapses and travel fatigue following a heavy loss make it difficult to trust them on the road, particularly against a Buffalo side generating steady scoring from multiple lines. With fresher legs, superior goaltending form, and a home-ice crowd behind them, this prediction points clearly toward the hosts as the stronger bet.

From a betting perspective, this pick favors stability and structure over volatility. Buffalo’s blend of special-teams execution, defensive accountability, and offensive balance creates an ideal setup against a visiting squad still searching for rhythm. St. Louis’ road numbers remain troubling, and the situational edge leans heavily to the Sabres. Laying the modest price makes sense given the matchup’s context and the reliability Buffalo has shown during its recent stretch.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Over/Under Pick - Over 6.5 (+100): B

Both teams enter with defensive vulnerabilities that make the higher total justifiable. St. Louis has struggled to contain sustained pressure, surrendering over four goals per game during its recent stretch, while Buffalo’s offense typically elevates at home—particularly with its top scoring unit intact. The Sabres’ improving power play should find success against a penalty kill ranked near the league’s bottom, and St. Louis’ transition style invites open ice and high shot volume on both ends. Factoring in potential fatigue and goaltending inconsistency, this prediction leans toward an offensive flow that breaks the 6.5-goal threshold, making the Over the preferred bet.

From a wagering standpoint, this pick trusts sustained tempo and poor defensive trends more than isolated results. Buffalo’s home scoring rate and St. Louis’ inability to limit chances suggest another track-meet scenario where either side can spark momentum swings. Special-teams mismatches only add to that expectation, giving this total plenty of room to clear by the final buzzer. Bettors seeking value in volatility will find this play aligned with recent performance data.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Puckline Pick - Buffalo Sabres, -1.5 (-192): C+

Buffalo’s recent form suggests a growing ability to separate late in games, thanks to improved zone exits and a sharper power play. St. Louis, meanwhile, continues to falter defensively, with a penalty kill near the bottom of the league and an offense missing key contributors that once provided stability in tight contests. Those factors combine to create a realistic path for a multi-goal outcome, especially given the Sabres’ recent home dominance and confidence in transition. Still, the risk lies in Buffalo’s penchant for trading chances and leaning on late-game rallies, which makes this prediction a cautious bet rather than a conviction pick.

From a betting perspective, this play weighs situational strength against market cost. The Sabres have shown they can win comfortably, but inconsistent closing stretches and overtime volatility limit upside at heavy juice. St. Louis’ structural issues remain a concern, yet Buffalo’s variance keeps this wager from ranking higher on the confidence scale. It’s a logical angle but one that calls for tempered expectations.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

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