Mariners vs Blue Jays
Northern lights favor Toronto, but runs could fill the sky.

Mariners (90-72) VS Blue Jays (94-68)
Oct 12, 2025 | 8:03 PM ET | Rogers Centre, Toronto


Toronto opens this series in a favorable spot, leaning on a rested bullpen and a dependable starter who’s handled Seattle well in past meetings. The Blue Jays’ rotation depth and lineup balance give them an edge against a Mariners staff still recovering from a taxing postseason stretch. Seattle’s decision to start a pitcher on short rest adds risk, particularly against a Toronto offense that tends to excel at home and pressure opposing arms early. With both teams carrying mild momentum, the difference likely comes from Toronto’s stability in run prevention and its more consistent plate approach. This prediction leans toward the hosts controlling tempo through pitching efficiency and disciplined hitting.
From a betting perspective, this pick backs Toronto on the moneyline, supported by pitching form, bullpen freshness, and matchup advantages. Seattle’s depleted middle relief and less favorable starter conditions make the visitors vulnerable late, while the Jays’ top order remains reliable in run-producing spots. It’s a logical play with solid probability and a clean edge in roster readiness.
This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 10/12/2025 at 9:00am
Both lineups enter this ALCS opener in strong offensive form, setting the stage for a game with sustained scoring potential. Toronto’s bats have been locked in through the postseason, producing power from multiple spots in the order and thriving in their hitter-friendly home park. Seattle counters with a dangerous middle of the lineup capable of capitalizing on mistakes, and the team’s postseason approach continues to emphasize aggression early in counts. With both bullpens showing signs of fatigue from extended ALDS workloads, any early scoring could quickly snowball once starters exit. This prediction anticipates active bats, steady traffic, and momentum swings on both sides.
From a betting perspective, this pick backs the Over on the total, supported by recent production trends and vulnerable relief depth. Toronto’s home run surge and Seattle’s ability to match power should keep the scoreboard moving, particularly in a dome that amplifies carry. Even if the starters settle in briefly, bullpen exposure and late-inning fireworks give this play solid upside.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 10/12/2025 at 9:10am
Toronto enters this matchup with momentum and matchup advantages across the board, particularly in the starting rotation and bullpen depth. The Blue Jays’ offense has consistently produced with runners in scoring position this postseason, and their ability to strike early puts pressure on a Seattle staff stretched thin after heavy recent workloads. The Mariners’ rotation uncertainty and limited relief options make it difficult to contain a deep Toronto lineup built to capitalize on mistakes. With a rested bullpen ready to secure late innings, this prediction points toward the hosts maintaining control once they establish a lead.
From a betting standpoint, this pick backs Toronto on the -1.5 run line, supported by statistical and situational edges. The combination of fresh arms, proven postseason hitting, and favorable pitching matchups provides a clear path to another multi-run result. While run-line plays always carry some volatility, the setup makes this a confident lean toward the more balanced, rested side.
This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 10/12/2025 at 9:00am
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