Seahawks vs Falcons Week 14 Edge

The 9-3 Seattle Seahawks roll into Atlanta on a three-game heater, fresh off a 26-0 demolition of Minnesota that showcased a takeaway-heavy defense and a confident Sam Darnold, while the Falcons limp in on a five-game losing streak with their offense repeatedly stalling late in games. With Drake London still not practicing due to a knee issue and key trench pieces like David Onyemata and Brandon Dorlus banged up, Atlanta’s ability to support Kirk Cousins and sustain drives against a front that hasn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in over a season is a real concern. Seattle has also travelled well in early East Coast kickoffs in recent years, and Darnold’s track record the last two seasons, combined with Seattle’s superior form and healthier core, makes the Seahawks the clear side to win outright even if the moneyline price is steep. The value isn’t elite at -357, but paired with Seattle’s playoff positioning motivation versus Atlanta’s fading hopes, it’s still a strong “chalk and live with it” position. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/12/2025 11:30am

Both teams have enough offensive talent to scare an over, but the way they’re trending leans toward a tighter, mid-40s ceiling that favors the under 44.5. Seattle’s defense has been surging—shutting out Minnesota and extending a long streak of not allowing a 100-yard rusher—while a healthier front seven and rotational depth returning from injury should help them key on Bijan Robinson and force Kirk Cousins into longer third downs behind a nicked-up line. On the other side, Darnold is managing games efficiently but the Seahawks have been comfortable winning with balanced, clock-chewing scripts rather than track meets, and the Falcons’ offense has lacked explosiveness without a fully healthy London, even playing indoors at Mercedes-Benz. Add in playoff urgency for Seattle that encourages a “get ahead, squeeze the game” approach, and the under gets the nod, though a late scoring burst on a fast track keeps this at a B+ rather than an A-level edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/12/2025 11:30am

Laying a full touchdown on the road with Seattle is less comfortable than the moneyline but still worth a lean given the directional arrows: the Seahawks have been winning by margin behind a defense generating turnovers and pressure, while the Falcons have dropped five straight and now may have to navigate this matchup with a compromised Drake London and multiple defensive starters either limited or sidelined. Sam Darnold has been steadier than the box scores sometimes show, and if Seattle’s front continues to bottle up opposing ground games, it puts more on Kirk Cousins and a banged-up supporting cast to keep pace, which is a tough ask over four quarters even in their own building. The main risk is a classic backdoor—Cousins, Bijan Robinson, and a capable pass-catching group are good enough to steal a late cover if Seattle softens up with a lead—plus the early-body-clock spot for a West Coast team, which keeps this at a B instead of something higher. Still, with the current form, injury disparity, and playoff stakes pushing Seattle to play a full 60, Seahawks -7 at near-even juice is the side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/12/2025 11:30am