NBA

Spurs vs Trail Blazers

Spurs chase a 3-1 stranglehold as Portland fights to stay within the number.

San Antonio Spurs

Spurs (62-20) VS Trail Blazers (42-40)

April 26, 2026 | 3:30 PM ET | Moda Center, Portland, OR

Portland Trail Blazers
Moneyline Pick - San Antonio Spurs (-210): B-
San Antonio has already seized back control of the series, leading 2-1 after Friday’s 120-108 win in Portland and building on a 62-20 regular season, while the Blazers enter Game 4 trying to bounce back from that home loss after riding the late-season momentum of their play‑in push. With Victor Wembanyama still listed day-to-day in concussion protocol and Damian Lillard out for the year, the matchup again leans toward the Spurs’ deeper perimeter core of Stephon Castle, De’Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper, which has consistently attacked Portland’s shaky point-of-attack defense and forced their bigs into space. Even if Wembanyama is limited or absent, San Antonio’s balanced scoring, superior depth and late-game execution make them the likelier side to close out another road win, but the uncertainty around their superstar and the juice on -210 trims the value to a B- grade rather than a premium edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2026 09:40
Over/Under Pick - Under 219.5, (-110): B
Portland’s offense has leaned on Deni Avdija, Scoot Henderson and Donovan Clingan to keep pace, but through three games against a 62-win Spurs defense the tempo has mostly produced grindy totals, with Games 1 and 2 both landing at 209 points and only Game 3’s 120-108 result nudging this matchup into higher-scoring territory. With Wembanyama’s concussion status still in flux, San Antonio is leaning more on versatile lineups and switching rather than pure rim dominance, yet both coaches have generally favored half-court sets, long possessions and matchup hunting over full-throttle pace, especially in closing time. Given the way the series has played out so far, the Blazers’ thin shot creation without Lillard, and the likelihood of playoff nerves tightening in a swing Game 4, Under 219.5 at -110 earns a solid B grade as the number still sits slightly above how these teams have actually scored against each other. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2026 09:40
Spread Pick - Portland Trail Blazers, +5.5 (-110): B+
Deni Avdija and the Blazers have generally stayed within striking distance in this matchup, stealing Game 2 in San Antonio and hanging around in Game 3 before Stephon Castle and the Spurs’ guards pulled away late, and now they get another shot at home down just 2-1 in the series. With Wembanyama still working back from a concussion and the Spurs leaning heavily on Castle, Fox and Harper again, Portland’s trio of Avdija, Henderson and Clingan has enough punch to keep this within one or two key runs, especially with Moda Center backing a group that went 42-40 and has already shown it can handle playoff pressure. In a series where the underdog has already won once on the road and every non-garbage-time stretch has felt competitive, taking the Blazers +5.5 at -110 lets you ride home court, urgency and a live young core with a generous cushion against even a narrow Spurs victory, good for a B+ grade on the ticket. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/04/2026 09:40
Not sure which game to try next? Let Piggy Arcade’s AI recommendations guide you to your next favourite demo.
Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks