Kings vs Timberwolves

Minnesota’s core of Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert has driven a 16-9 start with a healthy positive point differential and a current one-game win streak, while Sacramento drags in at 6-19 with a -11.4 margin and a two-game skid near the bottom of the West. The Wolves have already hammered this retooled Kings roster twice in November, winning 144-117 in Sacramento and 124-110 in Minneapolis, and now get them again at Target Center in another clear talent and continuity mismatch. Key injuries only widen the gap: Domantas Sabonis is sidelined with a meniscus tear and rotation pieces Drew Eubanks and Dennis Schroder are out while Keon Ellis is nursing a wrist issue, whereas Minnesota lists Mike Conley out but otherwise leans on a deeper, more stable rotation even with Edwards questionable. With the Wolves 8-4 at home and 15-5 overall when listed as favorites against a Kings team that’s 4-16 in conference and 3-7 over its last ten, laying -650 on the Minnesota moneyline is a high-confidence but low-upside play, so I grade this an A- recommendation. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/12/2025 09:45. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/standings))

Sacramento’s defense, allowing 122.6 points per game with bottom-tier rim protection, has already been torched by Minnesota for 144 and 124 in the two November meetings, producing totals of 261 and 234 that sailed past this number. Even with Sabonis out, the Kings still play fast and lean on perimeter scoring from Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, Malik Monk and Russell Westbrook, while the Wolves average nearly 120 points behind Edwards, Randle, Naz Reid and efficient shooting overall. Recent form is tilted toward offense on both sides: Minnesota games have averaged around 230 points over the last ten with overs hitting slightly more than half the time, while Sacramento’s contests have hovered closer to the mid-230s, and both teams combine to score a bit above this total on the season. Factoring in the Kings’ suspect transition defense, Minnesota’s elite shot-making, and prior head-to-head fireworks, I like Over 231.5 at -110, but the elevated total and Edwards’ questionable tag keep this at a B rather than an elite edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/12/2025 09:45. ([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/timberwolves-vs-kings-prediction-odds-picks-dec-14))

Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle have already led Minnesota to wins of 27 and 14 points over this same Kings roster, and with the Wolves now 8-4 at home against a Sacramento team that’s just 3-11 on the road, the setup again favors a double-digit margin. Sacramento loses its best interior hub and rebounder with Sabonis out, and with Eubanks and Schroder sidelined plus Ellis banged up, Doug Christie is left leaning on smaller, defense-light lineups that have struggled to contain Gobert’s size and Minnesota’s driving wings. Still, the Timberwolves are only 9-16 against the spread overall and 3-4 when laying 11+ points, while the Kings sit at 8-16-1 ATS but are a competitive 3-3 catching 11 or more, so a late backdoor from Sacramento is a very real risk. Given the talent gulf, injury situation and prior blowouts, I lean to Minnesota -12.5 at -110, but volatile ATS profiles on both sides make this more of a B- conviction than a premium edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/12/2025 09:45. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401810052?utm_source=openai))