Trail Blazers vs Pelicans
Rip City ready to clip a hobbled flock.

Trail Blazers (5-5) VS Pelicans (2-8)
Nov 12, 2025 | 9:00 p.m. ET | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA


Portland enters this matchup with a clear edge in health and lineup balance, giving them a strong chance to steady momentum on the road. The Trail Blazers’ interior defense, anchored by consistent rim protection, has quietly stabilized their recent play, while their half-court offense remains efficient through balanced shot distribution. New Orleans continues to fight through a depleted rotation, with key absences stripping away much of its scoring versatility and late-game creation. This prediction leans toward Portland leveraging depth and structure to control tempo and grind out a result, making the Moneyline play at a heavier price a safe, logic-based bet.
From a betting perspective, this pick values stability over variance. The Pelicans’ shortened rotation invites fatigue and defensive breakdowns, while Portland’s frontcourt size and spacing create consistent matchup advantages. With both teams seeking to rebound from mini slumps, the healthier, more complete roster should prevail. Laying the juice is justified given the situational disparity and talent gap.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
Both teams enter this matchup short-handed, which should slow rhythm and scoring pace on both ends. Portland’s half-court focus and deliberate tempo often keep totals contained, while New Orleans’ missing trio removes the bulk of its transition threat and perimeter spacing. With both rotations forced into heavier minutes for secondary players, offensive efficiency figures to dip and possessions to lengthen. This prediction leans toward a controlled, low-to-mid scoring night where defensive structure outweighs pace, making the Under 231 the value side of the bet.
From a betting standpoint, this pick leans on repeatable data rather than projection. The recent scoring history between these clubs and their current injury context both suggest inflated totals, particularly given the lack of proven shot creators on either side. Expect long possessions, fewer fast-break points, and modest three-point volume—all supporting a total that finishes comfortably beneath the current number.
This prediction gets an B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
Portland’s interior presence and defensive organization give it a clear advantage against a short-handed New Orleans squad missing key offensive catalysts. The Trail Blazers’ balance across all five positions allows them to dictate pace and sustain pressure through the middle quarters, especially with size and rim protection tilting in their favor. The Pelicans’ thin rotation has struggled to generate consistent offense, and their recent defensive lapses make it difficult to stay close late. This prediction leans on Portland’s steadier structure and form, backing them to cover the -8 spread with room to spare.
From a betting standpoint, this pick is rooted in matchup fundamentals and recent performance splits. The Blazers have excelled against struggling opponents by capitalizing on rebounding and defensive mismatches, while New Orleans’ lack of reliable scoring depth often leads to extended droughts. If Portland maintains its usual defensive efficiency, separation should come naturally as legs tire. Laying the points aligns with the numbers and situational edges at play.
This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
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