Trail Blazers vs Bucks

Milwaukee comes in on a four-game slide while Portland has dropped four of its last five, and with Giannis Antetokounmpo, Taurean Prince and Kevin Porter Jr. all sidelined, the Bucks’ offense is suddenly dependent on Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma and Myles Turner rather than their MVP engine. Portland is also banged up — Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle, Blake Wesley and Damian Lillard are all out — but the current core of Deni Avdija, Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant and Jrue Holiday has driven one of the league’s higher-scoring attacks so far, with Avdija and Sharpe both north of 20 points per game and Holiday orchestrating at over eight assists. Even though Giannis has historically torched the Blazers, including a 20-15-15 line in an earlier meeting, Portland proved in January with a 105-102 win in this same building that it can close out tight games in Milwaukee, and this Bucks group has looked especially shaky late in their recent losses. Given the Bucks’ current form, missing their best player and rim protector, and the Blazers’ more balanced scoring across the wing and center spots, I’m backing Portland Trail Blazers (+105) on the moneyline, graded a B for decent edge and modest plus-money value but with clear volatility from Portland’s own injury list and road travel. Odds and availability are subject to change; This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:57am

Portland’s Avdija–Sharpe-led offense has been living in track meets lately, with their last five games averaging well over 240 combined points, while Milwaukee’s four-game losing streak has featured defensive meltdowns in which they’ve allowed roughly 122 points per night. With Giannis and Thybulle both out, each side is missing an elite defensive piece, which should soften resistance at the rim and on the perimeter even if the Bucks lose some top-end scoring by not having Giannis’ 31 points per game. The Bucks’ supporting core — Rollins, Kuzma, Turner, AJ Green and Bobby Portis — still has plenty of shooting, and this Blazers group has multiple 20-point scorers plus Jrue Holiday pushing pace and creating open threes, a very different offensive profile from the more grindy 105-102 meeting in Milwaukee last January. Factoring in both teams’ recent trends toward high totals, weakened defenses, and the likelihood that a close spread keeps starters on the floor heavy minutes, I lean to Over 235 (-110), graded a B- because the number is already high and late injury or rest news could drag the tempo down. Odds and availability are subject to change; This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:57am

Portland catching a small +1.5 spread against a Bucks team on a four-game skid, still missing Giannis and multiple rotation pieces, looks attractive when you consider how competitive the Blazers have been despite losing four of their last five. Even shorthanded, Portland can throw Avdija, Sharpe, Grant, Holiday, Donovan Clingan and Robert Williams III at Milwaukee, giving them more two-way balance than a Bucks roster now leaning on Rollins’ shot creation, Kuzma’s streaky scoring and Turner’s pick-and-pop game. Portland already showed in January that it can grind out a tight road win in Milwaukee, and the current version scores more efficiently with Avdija emerging as a 25+ point scorer, while Giannis’ historical dominance in this matchup is off the table if he remains out with the groin strain. With the underdog getting a point and a half in what profiles as a close, high-variance game between a hungry road side and a struggling, short-handed favorite, I like Portland Trail Blazers +1.5 (-110), graded a B+ because we’re aligned with the moneyline edge but gain extra protection in a one-possession outcome. Odds and availability are subject to change; This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:57am