NBA

Trail Blazers vs Celtics Betting Preview and Picks

Boston’s depth looks to torch a depleted Portland backcourt again.

Portland Trail Blazers

Trail Blazers (23-23) VS Celtics (28-17)

January 26, 2026 | 8:00 PM ET | TD Garden, Boston, MA

Boston Celtics
Moneyline Pick - Boston Celtics (-332): B
Jaylen Brown and the Celtics return home from a narrow road loss in Chicago that snapped a short winning run, while Portland also just had a four-game surge halted by Toronto and now hits TD Garden on the second leg of that momentum swing. Boston is still without Jayson Tatum and could be missing Neemias Queta, but Brown, Anfernee Simons and Payton Pritchard headline a deep perimeter rotation that has driven one of the league’s best offenses and net ratings through the first half of the season. Meanwhile, Portland’s injury report is brutal: Damian Lillard, Scoot Henderson, Matisse Thybulle and several key rotation pieces are ruled out, with Deni Avdija and Robert Williams III only questionable, leaving Jrue Holiday, Shaedon Sharpe and Jerami Grant to carry a heavy load against a deep Boston backcourt. In last year’s meeting in Boston, Pritchard and Derrick White rained 84 combined points and 19 threes on the Blazers in a 128-118 Celtics win, underscoring the matchup problems Portland’s perimeter defense can face here, especially shorthanded. With Boston sitting near the top of the East and Portland scraping around the play-in line in the West, the Celtics’ motivation, home-court edge and health advantage justify eating the -332 moneyline, even if the price caps the upside; I grade this pick a B for strong win likelihood but limited monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/01/2026 09:50.
Over/Under Pick - Over 224.5, (+100): B-
Anfernee Simons and Portland’s remaining scorers have recently played in a slower, more grind-it-out style, but their 110-98 loss to Toronto still showed how quickly games can climb in pace when Donovan Clingan and Shaedon Sharpe get out in transition, and now they face a Celtics team that just came off back-to-back shootouts in Brooklyn and Chicago. Boston has been one of the league’s most explosive offenses by rating and three-point volume, with Brown, Simons, Pritchard and Derrick White all capable of stretching a short-handed Blazers defense that’s missing elite stopper Matisse Thybulle and potentially rim protector Robert Williams III, while also lacking the on-ball creation of Damian Lillard and Scoot Henderson, which could tilt more touches toward efficient finishers like Jrue Holiday and Grant. The last time these teams met in Boston, they combined for 246 points in a 128-118 Celtics win, fueled by 23 Boston threes, and with both clubs firmly in the playoff and play-in chase at the midway point, we should see tight, shortened rotations that keep primary scorers on the floor longer than usual. Even accounting for the absences of Tatum and Lillard, the combination of Boston’s pace-and-space attack, Portland’s thin perimeter defense and the even-money price on the Over makes me lean Over 224.5 with a B- grade, acknowledging some risk if Avdija and Williams sit and further compress Portland’s scoring options. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/01/2026 09:50. espn.com
Spread Pick - Boston Celtics, -8 (-109): C+
Payton Pritchard’s Celtics have already shown they can win this matchup with margin, covering a similar number when they beat Portland by 10 at TD Garden last season, and they enter this one as an East contender trying to solidify top-two seeding against a Blazers squad hovering around the back of the West play-in bracket. Portland’s injury situation is severe, with Lillard, Henderson, Thybulle and multiple rotation pieces ruled out and Avdija and Williams questionable, putting enormous pressure on Holiday, Sharpe and Grant to generate offense on the road, while Boston’s core of Brown, Simons, White and Pritchard remains intact even with Tatum sidelined. Current rosters from ESPN confirm Boston’s perimeter depth and Portland’s reliance on its few healthy creators, and when you pair that with Boston’s strong home form and superior net rating, a double-digit victory is very much in play if the Celtics’ threes fall and Portland’s thin bench tires. Still, the -8 spread leaves room for a backdoor cover if the Blazers’ young group keeps pushing late, so while I like Boston -8 -109 to get it done in a playoff-style focus game, I grade this only a C+ given the volatility around an injury-riddled Portland side and the key number range. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/01/2026 09:50.
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