Steelers vs Bears
Rodgers’ familiar foe meets a surging Chicago defense on the lakefront.

PIT (6-4) VS CHI (7-3)
November 23, 2025 | 1:00 PM ET | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL


Pittsburgh enters this matchup with a steadier overall structure and a style built around ball control, a formula that tends to travel well in tightly lined road environments. Chicago has surged in recent weeks, but its defensive core is thinned in key areas, especially in the middle of the field where communication and run-fit consistency are most affected. That creates an opening for a visiting offense that prefers measured tempo and methodical drives, particularly against a front seven relying on depth pieces. With both teams jockeying for postseason position, the broader matchup profile leans toward a disciplined approach rather than volatility, making this prediction lean toward the visitors as a viable moneyline bet. The pick also reflects Pittsburgh’s ability to compress games and force opponents into long, mistake-free possessions, a challenge for a home side still working through protection inconsistencies.
From a casual angle, this feels like the type of interconference showdown where experience and structure hold real weight. Chicago’s rise has been impressive, but the defensive attrition and reliance on developing pieces introduce enough uncertainty to keep the margin tight. Re-using the same prediction still fits naturally, especially with Pittsburgh bringing a steadier rhythm and a history of performing well in slower, clock-heavy matchups. If you’re hunting for a bet that capitalizes on potential value, backing the visitors as your pick lines up with both the situational edges and the matchup tendencies on display.
This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 11/21/2025
Pittsburgh’s recent approach under its current offensive structure has emphasized controlled tempo and balanced sequencing, which often suppresses overall scoring despite efficient stretches. Chicago’s surge has been fueled in large part by disruptive defense, particularly its knack for generating takeaways that stall drives and force opponents into shorter, lower-value possessions. Even with both teams entering on positive form, the matchup trends lean toward measured pacing rather than fireworks, especially with each side dealing with key defensive absences and offensive adjustments that shift emphasis toward methodical progression. Layer in both coaching staffs’ preference for field-position discipline in higher-leverage games, and the prediction points toward a contest defined by patience more than pace, making the Under a reasonable bet supported by broader team profiles and market expectations that cluster in the mid-40s. With neither attack consistently creating explosive plays, this looks like a pick shaped by sustained defense rather than scoring surges.
From a fan’s perspective, this projects as a matchup where both teams probe cautiously, leaning on structured drives, situational calls, and a willingness to take points rather than press for risks. Pittsburgh’s style naturally slows games, and Chicago’s defense—despite some injury-related holes—still tends to force long fields and disrupt timing. Even with competent quarterback play on both sidelines, the flow hints at grinding possessions, a handful of short fields, and multiple trips that stall before crossing the goal line. Re-using the Under prediction fits the way these teams typically operate, making it an approachable bet for anyone expecting a tight, playoff-tilted script and a sensible pick in a matchup unlikely to turn into a shootout.
This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 11/21/2025 at 9:00am
Pittsburgh enters this matchup as a short underdog despite Chicago’s strong overall record, a signal that broader trends and situational factors point toward a tightly contested game. Chicago’s defense has thrived on takeaways, yet its current injury stack in the middle of the formation weakens the unit’s ability to handle layered concepts and sustained drives. Pittsburgh’s offense under its veteran core has leaned on structure, timing, and methodical progression, traits that typically hold up well against defenses missing key communication pieces. On the other side, Chicago’s attack still battles protection inconsistencies, which could invite steady pressure from a disciplined front that has built its identity on forcing opponents into longer fields. Given those dynamics, this prediction leans toward a narrow, field-position tilt in which grabbing points offers tangible value and reflects the most stable blend of matchup and trend.
From a betting standpoint, this has all the hallmarks of a late-possession grinder, the type of game where trusting the side with more experience in tight moments becomes appealing. Chicago’s recent success is real, but its current personnel limitations open the door for a competitive script that stays within one score deep into the fourth quarter. Pittsburgh’s ability to manage tempo and avoid self-inflicted mistakes enhances the case for taking the available cushion, making this a sensible bet for those expecting a measured pace rather than a runaway. In that context, backing this underdog as your pick aligns comfortably with how these teams usually play in high-leverage spots.
This prediction gets an A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This bet was made on 11/21/2025 at 9:00am
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