Suns vs Kings

Devin Booker and the Suns come into Sacramento with the better form, healthier top-end talent and the clear matchup edge against a Kings team still adjusting without Domantas Sabonis, who remains out with a knee meniscus injury, while Phoenix’s own absences (Grayson Allen, Ryan Dunn and long-term Jalen Green) hurt depth but don’t remove their primary creators or size advantages inside. With Booker historically cooking Sacramento (mid‑20s scoring and strong playmaking against the Kings, including 31 in the October comeback win) and the Suns already 1-0 in this season series, laying -180 on the road favorite is a reasonable price against a 5-13 squad that has struggled to defend and is leaning heavily on Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan for late-clock offense. I like Phoenix to grind out another win, but the road setting and Phoenix’s own injury list keep this in solid value, not slam-dunk, territory, so I grade Suns -180 a **B** wager. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:57am

Sacramento’s offense minus Sabonis loses a huge chunk of elbow playmaking and second-chance creation, and when you pair that with the Suns missing a key spacer in Grayson Allen plus on-ball juice from Jalen Green, this 233.5 total sits a bit high relative to how these specific lineups are built to score. The Kings still want to push pace behind LaVine, Westbrook and Malik Monk, but their half-court efficiency dips without their All-Star hub, while Phoenix has quietly profiled as a more balanced, slightly slower team that can squeeze possessions through size and defensive versatility in the frontcourt; recent trends also show these teams combining to average fewer points than this number despite some noisy defensive outings. With market odds shaded slightly toward the under at -113 and both sides dealing with impactful offensive injuries, I lean to **Under 233.5 (-113)** as a modest edge, grading it a **B-** rather than something stronger because late-game free throws and hot shooting from the Kings’ perimeter scorers could still push this over. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:57am

Phoenix’s depth and two-way wings give them a clear structural edge against a Kings team that has been poor against the spread, especially at home, and now has to cover without Sabonis anchoring the glass and short-roll offense, which puts even more pressure on LaVine, DeRozan and Monk to outscore Booker-driven lineups across 48 minutes. The Suns have been one of the league’s better ATS teams over their last 10, and they’ve already shown they can solve Sacramento’s perimeter-heavy attack in the previous matchup, whereas the Kings’ 5-13 record and subpar defensive metrics suggest they’re often playing uphill, particularly when their bench units hit the floor. With the market sitting around Suns -4.5 at standard juice, I’m comfortable laying the points and expecting Phoenix’s superior shot creation and frontcourt size to show over four quarters, but given the Kings’ recent mini-bounce and home-court variance, I grade **Suns -4.5 (-110)** as a **B-** rather than an A-level edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:57am