Suns vs Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves come in on a five-game winning streak and finally back home after ripping through a road-heavy stretch, while the Suns have dropped three of their last four and were just blown out by 19 in Houston, highlighting how much their offense suffers when Devin Booker (groin), Jalen Green (hamstring) and multiple wings are on the injury report. With Minnesota showing a stable, deep core of Edwards, Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert, no current injuries listed, and a dominant front line that already pushed Phoenix to the brink in a one-point loss on the road in November, the gap widens in a Target Center rematch where the Suns are missing their primary on-ball creator and leaning more on Mark Williams post-ups and streaky shooting. At -440, the Wolves moneyline is more about reliability than return, so it earns a B grade: strong likelihood of cashing but limited upside on the payout. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 08/12/2025 09:38am

Phoenix’s shorthanded offense without Booker and Green is trending toward slower, half-court basketball built around Williams, Grayson Allen and (if he’s cleared) Dillon Brooks, which is a tough way to consistently score on a Minnesota team that still leans into Gobert’s rim protection and long, switchable forwards on the perimeter. The Suns’ recent four-game run has swung from 125 points in Los Angeles to just 98 in Houston, and now they face a fully healthy Wolves rotation that’s been winning with a mix of explosive outings and grind-it-out finishes, suggesting they can control pace at home even after some recent high totals. That combination of Phoenix’s compromised shot creation, Minnesota’s interior size, and the danger of a late-game slowdown in a double-digit spread spot nudges this toward the Under 226.5, graded B- because one of those hot Edwards or Naz Reid shooting nights could still push the number into the high 220s. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 08/12/2025 09:38am

Minnesota’s five-game heater, capped by a tight win over the Lakers after back-to-back road shootouts in New Orleans, has featured big nights from Edwards, Randle, Gobert and Naz Reid, and now they get a Suns team that already needed a one-point escape at home in the first meeting when Edwards dropped 41 and Gobert controlled the glass. With Phoenix traveling in banged up — Booker still listed out, Green sidelined for weeks, Isaiah Livers ruled out and Brooks questionable — their rotation behind Williams and Allen looks thin against a Wolves frontcourt that keeps pounding the offensive boards and has no one on the current injury sheet. In a spot where Minnesota owns the form, the health edge and home court, laying -9.5 is a B-grade play: a reasonable expectation of a double-digit win, but with some backdoor risk if Phoenix’s role players get hot from three in the fourth. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 08/12/2025 09:38am