Suns vs Warriors

Stephen Curry leads a Warriors team that comes into this rematch on a three-game losing streak, while Phoenix just edged them 99–98 at home to halt its own uneven run. The Suns’ backcourt and wing depth are compromised with Jalen Green ruled out and Grayson Allen and Isaiah Livers banged up, forcing even more usage onto Devin Booker, whereas Golden State’s absences (Al Horford, Seth Curry, Pat Spencer) mostly hit the fringes of the rotation rather than its primary creators. Curry’s long-term numbers against Phoenix — over 22 points, six assists and solid all-around impact with Golden State holding a winning record in those meetings — combined with the Warriors’ strong home profile versus the Suns’ middling road form tilt the underlying matchup toward the hosts despite the recent loss. Factoring in the revenge angle, healthier top-end core and shooting variance likely swinging back Golden State’s way, I’m backing the Warriors moneyline at -224 and grading it a B-: the win probability is high, but the price is rich enough to cap the overall value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:49

Devin Booker’s career production in the 23–24 point range against Golden State, coupled with Dillon Brooks’ history of reliable double-digit scoring versus the Warriors and a Suns group starting to find its rhythm despite the injuries, suggests Phoenix can still put up points even as it leans heavily on its stars. Golden State, meanwhile, has dropped three straight mostly because of late-game execution and turnovers rather than offensive collapse, continuing to average around 114 points per night while playing in a high volume of games that clear the total, especially at Chase Center. The 99–98 grinder in Phoenix looked driven by turnovers, whistle swings and situational tightness more than a sustainable pace blueprint, and a quick turnaround in San Francisco typically favors a faster tempo with more threes from Curry, Jimmy Butler and the Warriors’ spacing lineups against a thin Suns perimeter. With both teams’ offensive profiles and projection models pointing toward a score in the high 220s, I like Over 226.5 (-116) and grade it a B, expecting a competitive but higher-scoring game that gets past the number through late-clock shot-making and free throws. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:49

Golden State’s 7–4 home record and overall positive point differential, even while riding a three-game skid, indicate they usually play above their 13–15 mark, whereas the Suns have been shakier on the road and are now even more top-heavy after losing Jalen Green and dealing with Allen and Livers’ ailments. Those injuries strain Phoenix’s ability to throw multiple quality defenders at Curry and Jimmy Butler for 48 minutes, while the Warriors’ own absences are concentrated in secondary pieces and leave their main creation core intact. Historically, Curry has scored efficiently and volume-wise against the Suns, and Golden State’s three-point volume edge meshes well with a Phoenix defense that already concedes plenty of looks from deep and now must lean more on role players like Royce O’Neale and Mark Williams in space-heavy lineups. With the emotional push of Thursday’s one-point loss, a favorable shooting profile and home-court advantage, I’m laying the six and taking Warriors -6 (-102), grading it a B as a slightly better risk/reward play than the moneyline while still relying on the same underlying matchup edges. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:49