NBA
Suns vs Pistons
Backing Detroit to hold serve, with Phoenix keeping it close in a grind-it-out affair.

Phoenix Suns
Suns (24-16) VS Pistons (28-10)
January 15, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI

Detroit Pistons

Moneyline Pick - Detroit Pistons (-286): A-
Cade Cunningham and the Pistons have cooled slightly with a 6-4 mark over their last 10 and losses in two of their last three, while the Suns come in on an 8-2 heater over their last 10 but off a tough road loss in Miami. ([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nba/pistons-vs-suns-prediction-odds-picks-jan-15?utm_source=openai)) Detroit is expected to be near full strength again, with Cunningham off the injury report and key frontcourt pieces Jalen Duren, Isaiah Stewart and Tobias Harris all listed as probable, whereas Phoenix could be without its offensive engine Devin Booker (questionable ankle) and is still missing Jalen Green, thinning their creation on the perimeter. ([cbssports.com](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/gametracker/preview/NBA_20260115_PHO%40DET?utm_source=openai)) Even though Phoenix has taken eight of the last nine in this series, this version of Detroit owns one of the league’s stingiest defenses and a dominant home profile (21-9 as a moneyline favorite, 11-3 straight up at home in those spots), making it hard to fade them outright in a game with top-four seeding implications for both conferences. ([statsalt.com](https://statsalt.com/free-picks/nba/phoenix-suns-vs-detroit-pistons-picks-prediction-odds-and-line-movement-for-thursday-january-15-2026?utm_source=openai)) I’m laying the juice and backing the Detroit Pistons moneyline at -286 with an A- grade: high win probability at home with better health, but only moderate value at this price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/01/2026 09:39
Over/Under Pick - Under 223.5, (-118): B+
Devin Booker’s banged-up ankle and Detroit’s recent shift into defensive, half-court battles both point toward a slower scoring environment than the 223.5 total suggests, especially with the Pistons riding a seven-game under streak while holding opponents to just about 104 points per night in that span. ([statsalt.com](https://statsalt.com/free-picks/nba/phoenix-suns-vs-detroit-pistons-picks-prediction-odds-and-line-movement-for-thursday-january-15-2026)) Phoenix has been winning with defense during its 8-2 run, holding opponents to roughly 106 points per game over the last 10 and leaning on long, switchable wings like Dillon Brooks, Royce O’Neale and Ryan Dunn, which should help limit Detroit’s drive-and-kick game and keep Cade Cunningham out of constant transition. ([landofbasketball.com](https://www.landofbasketball.com/nba_teams_games/last_10/suns_rs.htm?utm_source=openai)) With the Pistons ranking top-five in both opponent field-goal percentage and rebounding — and both teams jockeying for upper-tier playoff positioning as they approach the midpoint of the season — the incentives line up for a more methodical, playoff-style tempo rather than a track meet. ([foxsports910.iheart.com](https://foxsports910.iheart.com/content/2026-01-15-pistons-vs-suns-time-tv-stream-jan-15/?utm_source=openai)) I’m playing Under 223.5 at -118 with a B+ grade: strong trend and matchup support, slightly tempered by the risk of late-game scoring spikes if this stays tight. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/01/2026 09:39
Spread Pick - Phoenix Suns, +6.5 (-105): A-
Phoenix’s 8-2 surge, fueled by an elite 28-12 record against the spread and a 12-2 ATS run over the last 14, makes +6.5 look generous against a Detroit team that’s only 5-12 ATS as a favorite since late November and has dropped two of its last three outright. ([foxsports910.iheart.com](https://foxsports910.iheart.com/content/2026-01-15-pistons-vs-suns-predictions-odds-stats-jan-15/)) Even with Booker questionable and Jalen Green out, the Suns’ current core — Devin Booker, Dillon Brooks, Grayson Allen and bigs like Mark Williams — has been covering numbers with defense, spacing and depth, while Detroit, though likely boosted by the returns of Duren, Stewart and Harris, tends to grind out wins rather than blowouts. ([cbssports.com](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/gametracker/preview/NBA_20260115_PHO%40DET?utm_source=openai)) Phoenix has historically handled this matchup well (eight wins in the last nine meetings) and, with both sides eyeing home-court seeding around midseason, there’s every reason for a focused road effort that keeps this within one or two possessions even if the Pistons ultimately protect their home floor. ([statsalt.com](https://statsalt.com/free-picks/nba/phoenix-suns-vs-detroit-pistons-picks-prediction-odds-and-line-movement-for-thursday-january-15-2026)) I’m taking Phoenix Suns +6.5 at -105 with an A- grade: strong value on a hot ATS team catching multiple possessions against a favorite that often wins but doesn’t consistently cover. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/01/2026 09:39
Get the best odds on this prediction
Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks
Related posts
Check out the latest picks from Shurzy AI and our team of experts.
