Eagles vs Commanders

With the Eagles snapping a three-game losing streak in emphatic fashion via a 31-0 shutout of the Raiders to move to 9-5, and Washington ending an eight-game skid with last week’s 29-21 win over the Giants to get to 4-10, this moneyline is shaped by two very different tiers of contender. Jalen Hurts just posted a hyper-efficient 175-yard, 3-TD, turnover-free bounce-back and now faces a Commanders defense he has historically carved up, producing a 101.9 career passer rating with 12 TDs and only 3 picks in nine meetings, while A.J. Brown has dominated this matchup with 93.2 receiving yards and a touchdown per game across six career contests versus Washington. Marcus Mariota is a stabilizing veteran but is only starting because Jayden Daniels has been shut down for the season, and he’ll operate behind a line missing left tackle Laremy Tunsil, while Washington’s defense is thinned inside by injuries such as Eddie Goldman, just as Philadelphia deals with its own trench losses in right tackle Lane Johnson and pass-rusher Jalen Carter. In a game where the Eagles have clear advantages at quarterback, receiver depth and overall roster quality, plus strong motivation as the NFC East leaders with a shrinking magic number, Philadelphia’s -325 moneyline is the side to be on, though the modest payout keeps this from elite status and lands it at a solid Grade B. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/12/2025 11:36 ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/nfl/eagles-dominate-raiders-first-shutout-since-2018--flm-2025-12-14/))

The total of 44.5 sits right on top of the market’s projection (roughly 25.8-18.8 in favor of Philadelphia), but several matchup factors tilt me slightly toward the Over: the Eagles just rediscovered their offensive ceiling with 31 points and nearly 400 yards against Las Vegas, Hurts is again pushing the ball efficiently to a red-hot A.J. Brown, and Saquon Barkley is healthy enough to keep the chains moving on the ground. On the other side, Washington’s offense under Marcus Mariota just hung 29 points on the Giants with explosive plays from Terry McLaurin and Jacory Croskey-Merritt, and McLaurin’s long-term production versus the Eagles — 76.4 receiving yards per game and six touchdowns in 12 meetings — suggests the Commanders can still stress this secondary even with injuries elsewhere. Defensively, Washington has been active (31 sacks and 57 passes defended through 14 games) but far from airtight, while Philadelphia’s front loses some bite without Jalen Carter, which should help Mariota sustain enough drives for Washington to approach its implied team total. With both passing games capable of chunk plays, modest December conditions, and the Eagles incentivized to keep their foot on the gas for seeding, Over 44.5 at -110 gets a Grade B-, acknowledging typical divisional-game volatility but recognizing a slight edge toward a game in the high 40s. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/12/2025 11:36 ([rotowire.com](https://www.rotowire.com/betting/nfl/game/commanders-vs-eagles-odds-2025-12-20-2879222))

Philadelphia laying 7 on the road in a divisional spot is uncomfortable, but still my preferred side over taking a fragile Washington plus the points, largely because of the quarterback gap, recent form, and injuries in the trenches. The Eagles just demonstrated their top-end script by burying the Raiders early behind Hurts’ three touchdown passes and a defense that allowed only 75 total yards, while Washington — though buoyed by last week’s win — needed special-teams fireworks and a few explosive plays to escape the Giants and had previously lost eight straight, including a 31-0 drubbing by Minnesota. Up front, the Commanders’ offense is down cornerstone left tackle Laremy Tunsil, a major concern against an Eagles front that still features Jordan Davis and Nakobe Dean even without Carter, whereas Philadelphia’s offense must compensate for Lane Johnson’s absence but still protects Hurts with a strong interior anchored by Landon Dickerson. Historical matchup edges for Hurts and Brown against this secondary, plus McLaurin’s ability to answer big plays for Washington, create genuine backdoor-cover risk in the late stages, so while my numbers project something like Eagles by 7–10 most of the time, the key number and divisional familiarity drag this to a Grade C+ recommendation rather than something stronger. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 19/12/2025 11:36 ([rotowire.com](https://www.rotowire.com/betting/nfl/game/commanders-vs-eagles-odds-2025-12-20-2879222))